Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 3

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Natal) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)


	ABC		Ceará

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.95	2.8
	2.48	3.05	2.85
	2.73	3.12	2.89
	2.55	3	2.8
	2.6	3.13	2.84
	2.55	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.7)	3.04 ↓ (3.12)	2.83 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
36.4%

Draw
30.6%

Ceará
32.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.2%

29.7%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

29.5%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

ABC - Ceará Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. ABC will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches ABC won 0.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Ceará could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in ABC: Bruno Lima (Injury) Walfrido (Injury)

There will not play in Ceará: Caique (Injury) Lucas Ribeiro (Injury) Tiago Pagnussat (Red Card)

Last 11 head-to-head matches ABC won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-14.

Including matches at home between the teams ABC won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Copa do Brasil
27.04.23	Grêmio - ABC	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.04.23	ABC - Vitória Salvador	0:3 ✺
16.04.23	Londrina - ABC	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.04.23	ABC - Grêmio	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
09.04.23	Santa Cruz de Natal - ABC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLLLW
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
22.04.23	Ceará - Guarani	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
19.04.23	Ceará - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
14.04.23	Ituano - Ceará	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
08.04.23	Ceará - Fortaleza	2:2 ✺
01.04.23	Fortaleza - Ceará	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
01.03.21	ABC - Ceará	1:1
08.02.20	ABC - Ceará	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
25.11.17	Ceará - ABC	1:0
05.08.17	ABC - Ceará	0:1
06.11.15	Ceará - ABC	3:0
28.07.15	ABC - Ceará	0:1
18.11.14	ABC - Ceará	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
02.11.26	Athletic Club - Ceará	✺

ABC - Ceará