Match Info

Date: 18 December 2021, Saturday


	Ceares		Compostela

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.55
	4.75	3.75	1.57
	5.2	3.6	1.57
	6.42	3.48	1.61
	4.2	3.75	1.67
	5.85	3.6	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.28 ↑ (4.28)	3.63 ↓ (3.7)	1.59 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceares
17.3%

Draw
25.2%

Compostela
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

24.5%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

19.8%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceares than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Compostela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ceares - Compostela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Ceares is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Compostela is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Compostela is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC Ceares
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.12.21	Pontevedra - Ceares	3:1 ✺
05.12.21	Ceares - Salamanca	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.11.21	Ceares - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
27.11.21	Palencia CA - Ceares	3:0 ✺
20.11.21	Langreo - Ceares	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLLL
- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.12.21	Compostela - Langreo	1:0 ✺
05.12.21	Arosa - Compostela	0:1 ✺
27.11.21	Compostela - Real Avilés	3:2 ✺
21.11.21	Navalcarnero - Compostela	2:1 ✺
14.11.21	Compostela - Unión Adarve	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLT

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