Match Info

Date: 12 May 2021, Wednesday


	Ceará		Arsenal Sarandí

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	6	Watch
	1.6	3.8	4.75
	1.52	4	5.25	Watch
	1.54	3.85	5.2
	1.56	4.12	5.73
	1.55	3.9	6	Watch
	1.55	3.96	5.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.51)	3.92 ↓ (4.11)	5.48 ↓ (5.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceará
59.7%

Draw
23.5%

Arsenal Sarandí
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

22.4%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

13.8%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-22.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceará that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal Sarandí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ceará - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Ceará is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Arsenal Sarandí is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ceará could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ceará is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ceará won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceará SC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
11.05.21	Icasa - Ceará	0:1 ✺
09.05.21	Caucaia - Ceará	1:6 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.05.21	Ceará - Bahia	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
06.05.21	Ceará - Crato	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.05.21	Bolívar - Ceará	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWT
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.05.21	Arsenal Sarandí - Central Córdoba	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.21	Arsenal Sarandí - Jorge Wilstermann	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.04.21	Colón - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
27.04.21	Arsenal Sarandí - Ceará	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
25.04.21	Defensa y Justicia - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
27.04.21	Arsenal Sarandí - Ceará	0:0

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