Match Info

Cearense - Championship Group - Round 2

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)


	Ceará		Horizonte

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.16	5.95	11.48
	1.2	5.58	12.84	Watch
	1.18	5	15
	1.15	5.75	15
	1.2	6	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.3)	5.66 ↑ (4.62)	13.86 ↑ (10.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceará
77.3%

Draw
16.1%

Horizonte
6.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

20%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ceará's performance.

Horizonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Ceará - Horizonte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 2. Ramos R. 63. Gilmar 33. Eder 17. Fernando 31. Lucas Lima 25. Vinicius Zanocelo 7. Pedro Henrique 29. Vina 8. Matheus Araujo 99. Lucca	1. Frank (G) 2. Daelson 3. Tiago Bettim 4. Rafael Augusto 6. Caio 5. Ramos 11. Palominha 10. Max 14. Pedro Cavalini 7. Betinho 9. Willian Anicete
Substitutes
86. Aloisio 14. Eric Melo 11. Fernandinho 81. Joao Gabriel 23. Jorge (G) 10. Juan Alano 18. Julio Cesar 90. Kaua Ziegler 98. Matheusinho 40. Melk 1. Richard (G) 26. Richardson	20. Alan Calbergue 18. Alex 25. Alysson Barros 8. Athyrson 17. Italo Dude 12. Jean (G) 19. Lalim 15. Leo Ribeiro 13. Mateus Pereira 16. Paulinho Cearense 21. Pentecoste 23. Ray Sape

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
6', Ramos 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Matheus Araujo ⚽, Vinicius Zanocelo (A),
18', Max 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', Daelson 🟨,
50', 2 - 0, Pedro Henrique ⚽, Vina (A),
59', Gilmar ↓, Julio Cesar ↑,
67', Willian Anicete ↓, Italo Dude ↑,
67', Palominha ↓, Alex ↑,
67', Lucca ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
67', Pedro Henrique ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Juan Alano ⚽, Vinicius Zanocelo (A),
73', Matheus Araujo ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
73', Fernando ↓, Eric Melo ↑,
73', Max ↓, Alan Calbergue ↑,
73', Pedro Cavalini ↓, Athyrson ↑,
82', Ramos ↓, Leo Ribeiro ↑,
90', 4 - 0, Vina (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Ceará has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Horizonte has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ceará is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Ceará will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ceará won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ceará won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceará SC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
25.01.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Ceará	1:5 ✺
21.01.26	Tirol - Ceará	1:4 ✺
17.01.26	Ceará - Iguatu	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Ceará - Maranguape	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Floresta - Ceará	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWTWW
- Horizonte FC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
27.01.26	Iguatu - Horizonte	1:1 ✺
22.01.26	Horizonte - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
16.01.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Horizonte	2:2 ✺
13.01.26	Maracanã - Horizonte	1:2 ✺
07.01.26	Horizonte - Quixadá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
13.02.19	Ceará - Horizonte	2:0
10.02.18	Ceará - Horizonte	2:1
09.02.17	Ceará - Horizonte	2:0

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