The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Iguatu 50.7%
Draw 28.9%
Horizonte 20.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.7%
27.1%
53.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.6%
25.9%
50.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Iguatu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Iguatu's performance.
Horizonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-32.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Horizonte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iguatu than the current prediction. (-30.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Iguatu that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horizonte than the current prediction. (+30.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Horizonte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Iguatu - Horizonte Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Horizonte (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Horizonte (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ze Rafael (G) 2. Biel Potiguar 3. Wagner Vidal 4. Diguinho 14. Max Oliveira 22. Talisson 20. Jeffinho 7. Rogerio (C) 8. Caio 10. Cassio Halloween 11. Tiaguinho
1. Frank (G) 2. Daelson 23. Ray Sape 4. Rafael Augusto 25. Max 5. Ramos 7. Betinho 8. Lauro 20. Alan Calbergue 11. Pentecoste 9. Willian Anicete
Substitutes
17. Alison 15. Bruno Menezes 6. Eric 38. Geferson (G) 13. Joao Pedro 18. Leandrinho 9. Matheus Lima 19. Piaui 23. Uchoa 5. Victor Salvador 12. Ytalo (G) 21. Ze Oliveira
18. Alex 17. Alysson Barros 16. Athyrson 6. Caio 21. Henrique 12. Jean (G) 13. Lalim 15. Leo Ribeiro 19. Palominha 10. Paulinho Cearense 14. Pedro Cavalini 3. Tiago Bettim
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Cassio Halloween ⚽, Tiaguinho (A),
15', 1 - 1, Willian Anicete (Penalty Awarded),
36', Alan Calbergue 🟨,
45', Ramos 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pentecoste ↓, Henrique ↑,
46', Caio ↓, Bruno Menezes ↑,
56', Alison 🟨,
56', Jeffinho ↓, Piaui ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Alison ⚽, Talisson (A),
61', Max ↓, Caio ↑,
64', Cassio Halloween 🟨,
66', Lauro ↓, Paulinho Cearense ↑,
66', Willian Anicete ↓, Leo Ribeiro ↑,
66', 3 - 1, Piaui ⚽, Tiaguinho (A),
68', Cassio Halloween ↓, Leandrinho ↑,
74', Alison ↓, Eric ↑,
74', Rogerio ↓, Uchoa ↑,
77', Daelson ↓, Palominha ↑,
81', Talisson 🟨,
90+3', Uchoa 🟨,
Preview
Horizonte is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Iguatu has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Iguatu has had a series of away games.
In this match, Iguatu is considered a favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Horizonte won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
Watch
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