Match Info

BRAZIL: Cearense - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)

Referee: Simao L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Ceará		Maracanã

	1	X	2
	1.18	5.75	13
	1.48	3.95	6.6
	1.49	3.8	6.44
	1.5	3.7	6.55	Watch
	1.48	3.84	6.82
	1.48	3.95	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.2)	4.17 ↓ (5.8)	7.67 ↓ (14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceará
65.3%

Draw
22.5%

Maracanã
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.4%

16%

6.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ceará's form might have worsened.

Maracanã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maracanã's recent form is better than expected.

Ceará - Maracanã Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 20. Diego 77. Fernandinho 88. Fernando Sobral 27. Galeano A. 44. Marcos Victor 3. Marllon (C) 30. Nicolas 9. Pedro Raul 19. Romulo 23. Willian Machado	23. Rayr (G) 25. Alan Ferreira 3. Edimar (C) 19. Hugo Freitas 5. Jair Berlitz 21. Matheus Taumaturgo 10. Patuta 13. Rafael Mandacaru 11. Thales L. S. 4. Wendell 15. Wilker
Substitutes
11. Aylon 33. Eder 70. Fabiano 16. Fernando Miguel (G) 80. Guilherme Luiz 17. Joao Victor 97. Lourenco 10. Lucas Mugni 22. Martinez A. 8. Matheus Araujo 79. Matheus Bahia 40. Ramon Menezes	9. Bravo 7. Davi Torres 1. Gabriel Teixeira (G) 14. Jairo 6. Leandro Cerqueira 18. Luan Lucas 8. Michel Pires 27. Shider 17. Testinha 12. Vitor (G)
Coaches
Leo Conde	Junior Cearense

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Pedro Raul ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Marcos Victor ⚽,
43', Fernando Sobral (Pen),
45', 3 - 0, Fernandinho ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jair Berlitz ↓, Michel Pires ↑,
46', Edimar ↓, Leandro Cerqueira ↑,
46', Thales L. S. ↓, Shider ↑,
46', Fernandinho ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
46', Pedro Raul ↓, Guilherme Luiz ↑,
46', Diego ↓, Matheus Araujo ↑,
57', Hugo Freitas ↓, Davi Torres ↑,
60', Marcos Victor ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
61', 4 - 0, Matheus Araujo ⚽,
66', Patuta ↓, Testinha ↑,
71', Bruno Ferreira ↓, Fernando Miguel ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-0.

Ceará in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Maracanã is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ceará could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Maracanã have a series of home games.

In this match Ceará is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ceará won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Ceará won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ceará SC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
06.03.25	Ceará - América RN	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
02.03.25	Maracanã - Ceará	0:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
19.02.25	Sergipe - Ceará	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
12.02.25	Ceará - Confiança	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
08.02.25	Fortaleza - Ceará	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWTW
- Maracanã EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
02.03.25	Maracanã - Ceará	0:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.02.25	Maracanã - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
23.02.25	Maracanã - Horizonte	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Horizonte - Maracanã	2:3 ✺
08.02.25	Maracanã - Barbalha	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
02.03.25	Maracanã - Ceará	0:3
21.01.24	Maracanã - Ceará	1:1
28.01.23	Ceará - Maracanã	2:1

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