Match Info
Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finalsDate: 9 August 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Maria de Lourdes Abadia (Ceilândia)
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 |
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 |
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Ceilândia |
|
Água Santa |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.93 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
|
 |
1.88 |
3.1 |
3.95 |
|
 |
1.86 |
3.08 |
4.18 |
|
 |
1.98 |
3.13 |
3.92 |
 Watch |
 |
1.86 |
3.24 |
3.96 |
|
 |
1.82 |
3.4 |
3.9 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.84) |
3.18 ↓
(3.25) |
3.9 ↓
(4) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ceilândia
48.1% | Draw
28.6% | Água Santa
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Água Santa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (-0.8%)Ceilândia - Água Santa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 87', 🟥,
- 88', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.Ceilândia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).Água Santa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). Ceilândia could have a small edge in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ceilândia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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