Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 3

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés (Celaya)


	Celaya		Dragones Toluca

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.83	4.05
	1.94	3.44	3.41
	2.21	3.24	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.22)	3.5 ↑ (3.18)	3.47 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celaya
47.3%

Draw
26.2%

Dragones Toluca
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28.6%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celaya's performance.

Dragones Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Celaya - Dragones Toluca Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Celaya will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celaya: 100% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Celaya (1.57) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - Celaya (1.43) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Celaya will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Celaya (votes: 17 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Rosales L. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
71', 0 - 2, ⚽,
82', 1 - 2, ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Celaya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Celaya
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
29.08.25	Cañoneros Marina - Celaya	4:3 penalties ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
26.04.25	Celaya - Jaiba Brava	0:0 ✺
23.04.25	Jaiba Brava - Celaya	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Celaya - Tapatío	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Celaya - Leones Negros UdeG	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLWL
- Dragones Toluca
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
23.08.25	Racing de Veracruz - Dragones Toluca	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 L

Celaya - Dragones Toluca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide