The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Celaya 51.3%
Draw 26.1%
Leones Negros UdeG 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.9%
23.2%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.8%
22.1%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Celaya's form might have worsened.
Leones Negros UdeG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Celaya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Celaya - Leones Negros UdeG Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hernandez H. (G) 22. Baltazar C. 7. Barragan M. 25. Blanco D. 2. Cervantes D. (C) 8. de los Santos L. 10. Dominguez A. 28. Gamboa J. 16. Garcia J. 14. Manriquez S. 3. Monreal E.
30. Lopez F. (G) 24. Aguayo J. 28. De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 8. Fierro C. 20. Flores B. 4. Ledesma A. (C) 26. Marchand J. 13. Ocejo Zazueta J. A. 6. Organista A. 10. Torres E. 5. Torres U.
Substitutes
156. Chaurand K. 6. Del Angel E. 29. Espinoza G. (G) 21. Hernandez P. 30. Kassi A. 136. Luna E. G. 19. Partida E. 18. Recalde B. 9. Sanchez A. 11. Tejeda D.
84. Barba T. 25. Cantu Rodriguez O. M. (G) 15. Carreon A. 96. Chavez A. 83. Flores L. 85. Hernandez A. 88. Munoz D. 3. Rabago F. 2. Sanchez J. 104. Torres D.
Coaches
Blanco Soto S. R.
Sosa L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
13', Manriquez S. 🟨,
13', Fierro C. 🟨,
16', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Organista A. ⚽,
40', Garcia J. 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, Fierro C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 2, Monreal E. ⚽,
53', Marchand J. 🟨,
58', 2 - 2, Baltazar C. ⚽,
59', Cervantes D. 🟨,
62', Garcia J. 🟨,
66', Dominguez A. ↓, Del Angel E. ↑,
66', Gamboa J. ↓, Tejeda D. ↑,
71', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
71', Marchand J. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
75', Manriquez S. ↓, Hernandez P. ↑,
76', 2 - 3, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ⚽,
83', de los Santos L. ↓, Partida E. ↑,
83', Cervantes D. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
88', Aguayo J. ↓, Rabago F. ↑,
88', Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
90+1', Organista A. ↓, Carreon A. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Leones Negros UdeG is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Celaya won 2.
Celaya is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Leones Negros UdeG is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Leones Negros UdeG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Celaya is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Celaya to win the game is with odds 1.72.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Celaya won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22:16 (average 1.1:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Celaya won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:3 (average 1.1:0.3).
Mexico
Venezuela
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Hernandez H. (G) 
de los Santos L. 
Kassi A. 
Recalde B. 
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