The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Celaya 53.8%
Draw 25.3%
Tapatío 20.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.1%
20.3%
15.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.5%
21.7%
14.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Celaya's form might have worsened.
Tapatío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tapatío's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (+14.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Celaya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tapatío, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
60%
0%
Celaya - Tapatío Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Celaya will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hernandez H. (G) 22. Baltazar C. 7. Barragan M. 25. Blanco D. 6. Del Angel E. 8. de los Santos L. 10. Dominguez A. (C) 28. Gamboa J. 21. Hernandez P. 14. Manriquez S. 3. Monreal E.
191. Leyva Cortes A. A. (G) 67. Aguayo S. 42. Delgadillo D. (C) 64. Flores D. 47. Garcia G. 53. Garcia U. 57. Guajardo D. 48. Jimenez L. 56. Sanchez B. 59. Torres C. 44. Zamora S.
Substitutes
156. Chaurand K. 29. Espinoza G. (G) 137. Giron M. 30. Kassi A. 136. Luna E. G. 167. Mendoza E. 19. Partida E. 18. Recalde B. 9. Sanchez A. 11. Tejeda D.
205. Castro A. 63. Cendejas M. 46. Egurrola L. 60. Ledesma Hurtado L. E. 188. Mendez F. 71. Montiel Herrera E. A. (G) 244. Nuno R. 62. Tellez B. 69. Villaseca D.
Coaches
Blanco Soto S. R.
Ortega A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
37', Manriquez S. 🟨,
37', Aguayo S. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Del Angel E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Manriquez S. 🟨,
63', Guajardo D. 🟨,
67', 🟨,
67', Guajardo D. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
67', Torres C. ↓, Egurrola L. ↑,
68', Barragan M. ↓, Tejeda D. ↑,
74', Garcia G. ↓, Villaseca D. ↑,
74', Zamora S. ↓, Cendejas M. ↑,
78', Baltazar C. ↓, Recalde B. ↑,
79', Gamboa J. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
85', Aguayo S. ↓, Ledesma Hurtado L. E. ↑,
85', Hernandez P. ↓, Luna E. G. ↑,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Celaya is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Celaya won 1.
Recent matches Celaya is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Tapatío is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Tapatío could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Celaya is a favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Celaya won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20:18 (average 1.5:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Celaya won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:7 (average 2.2:1.2).
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Venezuela
World
Watch
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Hernandez H. (G) 
de los Santos L. 
Kassi A. 
Mendoza E. 
Recalde B. 
Villaseca D. 
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