Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés (Celaya)


	Celaya		Héroes de Zaci

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.61	3.45	Watch
	1.99	3.35	3.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.9)	3.48 ↓ (3.61)	3.41 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celaya
46.9%

Draw
26.2%

Héroes de Zaci
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

25.3%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.6%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Héroes de Zaci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Héroes de Zaci than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Celaya - Héroes de Zaci Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Celaya has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Héroes de Zaci's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Celaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Celaya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Celaya
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.10.25	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Celaya	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Celaya - Racing de Veracruz	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Celaya - Deportiva Venados	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Neza - Celaya	3:2 ✺
06.09.25	Celaya - Dragones Toluca	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLW
- Héroes de Zaci
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
17.10.25	Héroes de Zaci - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Racing de Veracruz - Héroes de Zaci	3:2 ✺
03.10.25	Héroes de Zaci - Tapachula Soconusco	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Deportiva Venados - Héroes de Zaci	3:2 penalties ✺
22.09.25	Héroes de Zaci - Neza	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TLWLW

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