Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 4

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Neza		Celaya

	1	X	2
	3.59	3.32	1.99	Watch
	3.47	3.42	1.93
	3.25	3.5	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↓ (4.18)	3.41 ↓ (3.62)	1.94 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neza
26.5%

Draw
26.6%

Celaya
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

24.6%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neza's performance.

Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Celaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Neza - Celaya Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Celaya (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Recalde B. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 3 - 1, ⚽,
83', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

In this match, Celaya is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neza FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
31.08.25	Neza - Racing de Veracruz	0:3 ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
05.01.13	Estudiantes de Altamira - Neza	1:3 ✺
18.11.12	Neza - Dorados	1:2 ✺
11.11.12	Dorados - Neza	1:0 ✺
02.11.12	Lobos BUAP - Neza	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWLLW
- Atlético Celaya
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
06.09.25	Celaya - Dragones Toluca	3:2 ✺
29.08.25	Cañoneros Marina - Celaya	4:3 penalties ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
26.04.25	Celaya - Jaiba Brava	0:0 ✺
23.04.25	Jaiba Brava - Celaya	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Celaya - Tapatío	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
06.10.12	Celaya - Neza	1:2

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