Match Info

Premier Division - Round 21

Date: 19 June 2026, Friday

Location: Regional Sports Centre (Waterford)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	LOI TV


	Waterford		Shamrock Rovers

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.9	1.6	Watch
	4.40	3.70	1.68
	4.95	4.05	1.6
	5.23	4.2	1.62
	4.70	3.20	1.86	Watch
	4.8	3.8	1.62
	4.93	4.05	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.82 ↓ (5.14)	3.84 ↓ (4.01)	1.66 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waterford
19.4%

Draw
24.3%

Shamrock Rovers
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

23.2%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

22%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waterford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waterford than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Waterford - Shamrock Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: Shamrock Rovers will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McMullan S. (G) 16. Cann H. 5. Mahon J. 13. Long K. 2. Houston J. 4. Johnson W. 10. Noonan C. 3. Couto B. 27. McMenamy D. 18. Lonergan T. 9. Amond P. (C)	1. McGinty E. (G) 22. Sobowale T. 5. Grace L. (C) 3. Stevens E. 11. Mulraney J. 8. Healy M. 29. Byrne J. 19. Brennan A. 7. Watts D. 88. McGovern J. 10. Burke G.
Substitutes
32. Amedu G. 7. Carty C. 99. Coyle T. 21. Doherty A. (G) 17. Faria J. 19. Glenfield S. 15. Heeney L. 22. Mansfield R. 20. Voilas J.	9. Greene A. 38. Kovalevskis M. 23. Malley C. 2. Matthews A. 41. Noonan A. (G) 31. Noonan M. 27. O'Sullivan C. 26. O'Sullivan J. 28. Razi N.
Coaches
Coughlan G.	Bradley S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Johnson W. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Watts D. ⚽, Brennan A. (A),
41', Watts D. 🟨,
42', Bradley S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Long K. 🟨,
56', Houston J. ↓, Faria J. ↑,
57', Mahon J. 🟨,
63', Noonan C. 🟨,
68', Noonan C. ↓, Coyle T. ↑,
68', McMenamy D. ↓, Heeney L. ↑,
70', Burke G. ↓, Greene A. ↑,
70', McGovern J. ↓, Noonan M. ↑,
75', Mulraney J. ↓, Matthews A. ↑,
80', Lonergan T. ↓, Voilas J. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, Noonan M. ⚽, Watts D. (A),
86', Watts D. ↓, O'Sullivan J. ↑,
86', Byrne J. ↓, Malley C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Shamrock is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Waterford: Armstrong F. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Shamrock: Asamoah M. (Inactive) Gaffney R. (Ankle Injury) Lopes R. (International duty) Mandroiu D. (Knee Injury) Ozhianvuna V. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Waterford: McLaughlin E. (Foot Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 15:46. (average 0.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Waterford won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:24. (average 0.8:2.4).

Outrights of Irish Premier Division for now

Shamrock Rovers: 63.99%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	32	18	8	6	52:32	20	62
8	Waterford	32	7	13	12	44:54	-10	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Waterford FC
Irish Premier Division
12.06.26	Waterford - Sligo Rovers	4:0 ✺
29.05.26	Drogheda United - Waterford	3:3 ✺
22.05.26	Shelbourne - Waterford	2:1 ✺
18.05.26	Waterford - Drogheda United	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Waterford - Derry City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WTLWT
- Shamrock Rovers
Irish Premier Division
12.06.26	Shelbourne - Shamrock Rovers	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic	1:0 ✺
25.05.26	Bohemians Dublin - Shamrock Rovers	1:2 ✺
22.05.26	Shamrock Rovers - Sligo Rovers	1:2 ✺
15.05.26	Dundalk - Shamrock Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
01.05.26	Shamrock Rovers - Waterford	1:0
03.04.26	Waterford - Shamrock Rovers	1:1
22.09.25	Waterford - Shamrock Rovers	1:2
27.06.25	Shamrock Rovers - Waterford	1:0
16.05.25	Waterford - Shamrock Rovers	1:3
11.04.25	Shamrock Rovers - Waterford	2:0
01.11.24	Shamrock Rovers - Waterford	2:1

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