Match Info

LaLiga - Round 3

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport LaLiga
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Australia	beIN Sports 1
Austria	Laola1
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Caze TV
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Finland	Disney+
France	DAZN France, Disney+
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Malta	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Flow Sports 2 Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Spain	M+ LaLiga
Sweden	Disney+
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5


	Celta de Vigo		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	2.88	3	2.7	Watch
	2.75	3.10	2.65
	2.85	3	2.65	Watch
	2.92	3.15	2.73
	2.79	3.21	2.65	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.7
	3.14	3.08	2.58	Watch
	2.85	3.05	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.36)	3.09 ↓ (3.37)	2.66 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo
33.1%

Draw
30.9%

Athletic Bilbao
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

28.2%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Celta de Vigo's form might have worsened.

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Celta de Vigo - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Celta will win (votes: 12 - 42.9%). Athletic will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celta: 24.6% – 61.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Celta (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Celta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Radu I. (G) 20. Rodriguez J. 2. Starfelt C. (C) 4. Faye A. 15. Nunez A. 14. Febas A. 6. Moriba I. 5. Carreira S. 19. Swedberg W. 16. Gonzalez H. 9. Jutgla F.	1. Simon U. (G) 12. Areso J. 4. Paredes A. 14. Laporte A. 17. Berchiche Y. 16. Ruiz de Galarreta I. 24. Gerenabarrena B. 23. Navarro R. 8. Sancet O. 7. Berenguer A. 9. Williams I. (C)
Substitutes
23. Alvarez H. 28. Antanon A. 10. Aspas I. 1. Bayindir A. (G) 30. Burcio H. 11. Duran P. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 22. Galan J. 29. Lago Y. 27. Ribes K. 8. Roman M. 17. Rueda J.	5. Alvarez Y. 19. Boiro A. 28. Canales P. 25. Djalo A. 11. Guruzeta G. 18. Jauregizar M. 31. Louis-Jean J. 13. Padilla A. (G) 20. Rego A. 15. Rincon H. 21. Sannadi M. 10. Williams N.
Coaches
Giraldez C.	Terzic E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Berenguer A. ⚽, Williams I. (A),
22', 0 - 2, Navarro R. ⚽, Ruiz de Galarreta I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gonzalez H. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
46', Rodriguez J. ↓, Rueda J. ↑,
46', Faye A. ↓, Lago Y. ↑,
46', Moriba I. ↓, Roman M. ↑,
48', Berchiche Y. 🟨,
57', Swedberg W. ↓, Alvarez H. ↑,
61', Navarro R. 🟨,
65', Williams I. ↓, Guruzeta G. ↑,
65', Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↓, Jauregizar M. ↑,
65', Sancet O. ↓, Canales P. ↑,
71', Gerenabarrena B. 🟨,
74', Navarro R. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
86', Areso J. ↓, Louis-Jean J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Athletic has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Celta: Alonso M. (Red Card) Iglesias B. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Athletic: Egiluz U. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Athletic: Gorosabel A. (Transfer negotiations) Prados Diaz B. (Thigh Injury) Serrano N. (Coach's decision) Vivian D. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Celta won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Celta won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Ath Bilbao: 0.47% Celta Vigo: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Ath Bilbao	6	2	2	2	7:6	1	8
15	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8:6	2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Athletic Bilbao - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 31.56%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
27.08.26	Celta de Vigo - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Valencia - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Sassuolo - Celta de Vigo	1:4 ✺
29.07.26	Celta de Vigo - Académico de Viseu	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Celta de Vigo - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWTW
- Athletic Bilbao
Spanish LaLiga
27.08.26	Barcelona - Athletic Bilbao	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.26	Atalanta - Athletic Bilbao	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Burgos - Athletic Bilbao	0:3 ✺
29.07.26	Racing Santander - Athletic Bilbao	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
17.05.26	Athletic Bilbao - Celta de Vigo	1:1
14.12.25	Celta de Vigo - Athletic Bilbao	2:0
19.01.25	Celta de Vigo - Athletic Bilbao	1:2
22.09.24	Athletic Bilbao - Celta de Vigo	3:1
15.05.24	Celta de Vigo - Athletic Bilbao	2:1
10.11.23	Athletic Bilbao - Celta de Vigo	4:3
20.05.23	Athletic Bilbao - Celta de Vigo	2:1

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