Match Info

Date: 24 January 2021, Sunday


	Celta de Vigo		Eibar

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.8	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.8
	2.08	3.25	3.95	Watch
	2.03	3.2	3.9
	2.09	3.36	4.06
	2.05	3.3	3.8	Watch
	2.09	3.44	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.07)	3.31 ↓ (3.4)	3.86 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo
46.3%

Draw
28.9%

Eibar
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

28.1%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

18.8%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celta de Vigo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eibar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	15.1%	18.3%

Celta de Vigo - Eibar Predictions

Users Predictions: 93 users predict this event. Celta will win (votes: 62 - 66.7%). Eibar will win (votes: 17 - 18.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 15.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celta: 57.1% – 76.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 16).

Celta has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Eibar has a chance of relegated (16%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Celta is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Eibar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Celta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Celta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Celta won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Celta won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
20.01.21	Betis - Celta de Vigo	2:1 ✺
08.01.21	Celta de Vigo - Villarreal	0:4 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.21	Ibiza - Celta de Vigo	5:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.01.21	Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo	2:0 ✺
30.12.20	Celta de Vigo - Huesca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga
21.01.21	Eibar - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.01.21	Navalcarnero - Eibar	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.01.21	Levante - Eibar	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.21	Las Rozas - Eibar	3:4 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
03.01.21	Eibar - Granada	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
12.09.20	Eibar - Celta de Vigo	0:0
26.01.20	Celta de Vigo - Eibar	0:0
29.09.19	Eibar - Celta de Vigo	2:0
03.03.19	Eibar - Celta de Vigo	1:0
27.10.18	Celta de Vigo - Eibar	4:0
24.02.18	Celta de Vigo - Eibar	2:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.11.17	Celta de Vigo - Eibar	1:0

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