Match Info

LaLiga - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	00:30	Solh Sports 1
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes Ganza, Startimes Sports Arena, Startimes Sports Focus, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, Startimes World Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Andorra	21:00	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	17:00	DSports 1
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	beIN Sports 2
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	00:00	Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	02:00	Begin
Bolivia	16:00	Red Uno, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	17:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	TSN 2, TSN+
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	15:00	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	00:00	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	15:00	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong Kong	04:00	M Plus Live
Hungary	21:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	01:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	22:00	ONE Sport
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	02:00	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 3
Kyrgyzstan	02:00	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Madagascar	23:00	UpTV
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	01:00	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	14:00	Sky Sport
Moldova	22:00	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	22:00	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	09:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	21:00	TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	23:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	21:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Suriname	17:00	QN Sports
Sweden	21:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Tajikistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	23:00	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	17:00	DSports 1
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	01:00	Setanta Sports 2, Zor TV
Venezuela	16:00	DSports 1
Vietnam	03:00	SCTV 22


	Real Madrid		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	1.27	6.5	8	Watch
	1.27	5.9	10.5	Watch
	1.29	6.4	9.86
	1.29	6.63	9.79	Watch
	1.25	5.75	10
	1.28	6.55	12.1	Watch
	1.28	6	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.37)	6.25 ↑ (5.27)	9.96 ↑ (7.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
75.1%

Draw
15.3%

Celta de Vigo
9.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.6%

18.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

17.4%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid's performance.

Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.6%	5.2%	5.2%

Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 8.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Real (1.73) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

EH -1 - Real (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (68 of 75 users predict this - 90.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.09% – 97.25%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (27 of 27 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 31 Selected Experts predict this event. Real (votes: 31 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Courtois T. (G) 17. Asencio R. 3. Eder Militao 18. Carreras A. 20. Garcia F. 8. Valverde F. (C) 14. Tchouameni A. 15. Guler A. 5. Bellingham J. 10. Mbappe K. 7. Vinicius Junior	13. Radu I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 2. Starfelt C. (C) 20. Alonso M. 5. Carreira S. 16. Roman M. 6. Moriba I. 3. Mingueza O. 18. Duran P. 15. Zaragoza B. 7. Iglesias B.
Substitutes
6. Camavinga E. 19. Ceballos D. 21. Diaz B. 9. Endrick 16. Garcia G. 13. Lunin A. (G) 36. Martinez J. 30. Mastantuono F. 43. Mestre S. (G) 11. Rodrygo 22. Rudiger A.	23. Alvarez H. 10. Aspas I. 8. Beltran F. 24. Dominguez C. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 12. Fernandez M. 9. Jutgla F. 29. Lago Y. 14. Rodriguez D. 17. Rueda J. 19. Swedberg W. 1. Villar I. (G)
Coaches
Alonso X.	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Eder Militao ↓, Rudiger A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Duran P. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Swedberg W. ⚽, Zaragoza B. (A),
54', Asencio R. ↓, Rodrygo ↑,
62', Bellingham J. 🟨,
63', Garcia F. 🟨,
64', Garcia F. 🟨,
71', Mingueza O. ↓, Jutgla F. ↑,
71', Zaragoza B. ↓, Rueda J. ↑,
73', Alonso X. 🟨,
74', Guler A. ↓, Garcia G. ↑,
83', Moriba I. 🟨,
84', Roman M. ↓, Beltran F. ↑,
88', Iglesias B. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
90+2', Carreras A. 🟨,
90+2', Carreras A. 🟨,
90+2', Rodrygo 🟨,
90+2', Valverde F. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 2, Swedberg W. ⚽, Aspas I. (A),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 5.

Real is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Celta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Real may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Real has had a series of away games.

In this match, Real is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Muscle Injury) Alexander-Arnold T. (Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Huijsen D. (Muscle Injury) Mendy F. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Celta: Aidoo J. (Injury) Ristic M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real won 16 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 59:22. (average 3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 32:10. (average 3.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
03.12.25	Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
30.11.25	Girona - Real Madrid	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - Real Madrid	3:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
23.11.25	Elche - Real Madrid	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTWTT
- Celta de Vigo
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Sant Andreu - Celta de Vigo	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.25	Celta de Vigo - Espanyol	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Celta de Vigo	3:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
22.11.25	Deportivo Alavés - Celta de Vigo	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Celta de Vigo - Barcelona	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
04.05.25	Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo	3:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.25	Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo	5:2 ET
Spanish LaLiga
19.10.24	Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid	1:2
10.03.24	Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo	4:0
25.08.23	Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid	0:1
22.04.23	Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo	2:0
20.08.22	Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid	1:4

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