What is the expert prediction for Real Sociedad vs Celta de Vigo?

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Real Sociedad vs Celta de Vigo Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, January 25, 2026)

Match Info

LaLiga - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Reale Arena (San Sebastian)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 1
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Real Sociedad		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.12	3.35	3.55	Watch
	2.17	3.35	3.7
	2.15	3.35	3.53	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.4
	2.21	3.42	3.71	Watch
	2.14	3.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2)	3.33 ↓ (3.48)	3.57 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
44.6%

Draw
28.7%

Celta de Vigo
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

27.3%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

27.1%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.8%	18.6%	18.6%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 27 - 62.8%). Celta will win (votes: 8 - 18.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 18.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 48.4% – 77.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 9 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Celta (2.51) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.25 - Celta (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Sociedad will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Celta (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 2. Aramburu J. 31. Martin J. 16. Caleta-Car D. 3. Munoz A. 11. Guedes G. 4. Gorrotxategi J. 8. Turrientes B. 7. Barrenetxea A. 24. Sucic L. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C)	13. Radu I. (G) 12. Fernandez M. 2. Starfelt C. (C) 20. Alonso M. 5. Carreira S. 6. Moriba I. 22. Sotelo H. 23. Alvarez H. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 18. Duran P. 15. Zaragoza B.
Substitutes
46. Aguirre I. 26. Diaz D. 6. Elustondo A. 32. Fraga A. (G) 19. Karrikaburu J. 28. Marin P. 13. Marrero U. (G) 23. Mendez B. 47. Ochieng J. 20. Odriozola A. 9. Oskarsson O. 5. Zubeldia I.	4. Aidoo J. 10. Aspas I. 38. Burcio H. 24. Dominguez C. 7. Iglesias B. 3. Mingueza O. 21. Ristic M. 32. Rodriguez J. 16. Roman M. 17. Rueda J. 19. Swedberg W. 1. Villar I. (G)
Coaches
Matarazzo P.	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Sucic L. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Oyarzabal M. ⚽, Turrientes B. (A),
45+2', Caleta-Car D. 🟥,
45+3', Zaragoza B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Fernandez M. ↓, Mingueza O. ↑,
46', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Zubeldia I. ↑,
46', Turrientes B. ↓, Odriozola A. ↑,
56', Duran P. ↓, Iglesias B. ↑,
56', Moriba I. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
64', Matarazzo P. 🟨,
70', Guedes G. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Iglesias B. ⚽,
75', 2 - 1, Oyarzabal M. ⚽, Gorrotxategi J. (A),
77', Sotelo H. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
77', Carreira S. ↓, Roman M. ↑,
81', Sucic L. ↓, Mendez B. ↑,
86', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 1, Mendez B. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 2.

Real Sociedad is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Celta is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Celta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Real Sociedad will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Herrera Y. (Calf Injury) Kubo T. (Muscle Injury) Lebarbier A. (Injury) Marchal A. (Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury) Soler C. (Red Card) Zakharyan A. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Celta: Jutgla F. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Celta Vigo	37	13	12	12	52:48	4	51
10	Real Sociedad ✔	37	11	12	14	58:60	-2	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
18.01.26	Real Sociedad - Barcelona	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.01.26	Real Sociedad - Osasuna	3:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga
09.01.26	Getafe - Real Sociedad	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Levante - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWWTT
- Celta de Vigo
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Celta de Vigo - Lille	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
18.01.26	Celta de Vigo - Rayo Vallecano	3:0 ✺
12.01.26	Sevilla - Celta de Vigo	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Celta de Vigo - Valencia	4:1 ✺
20.12.25	Real Oviedo - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
19.10.25	Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad	1:1
13.05.25	Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo	0:1
21.12.24	Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad	2:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
23.01.24	Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad	1:2
Spanish LaLiga
20.01.24	Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad	0:1
19.08.23	Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo	1:1
18.02.23	Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo	1:1

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