Match Info

LaLiga - Round 6

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Anoeta (San Sebastian)

Referee: Garcia V. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport LaLiga
Argentina	DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	Laola1
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Caze TV
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	DSports
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	Disney+
France	DAZN France, Disney+
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Iceland	Disney+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Iran	Persiana Sports
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ LaLiga
Sweden	Disney+
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DAZN, DSports 310
Usa	ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 1


	Real Sociedad		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.70	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.80	4.40
	1.75	3.70	4.60	Watch
	1.83	3.80	4.82
	1.77	3.83	4.53	Watch
	1.79	3.75	4.85
	1.75	3.78	5.10	Watch
	1.81	3.85	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.44)	3.78 ↑ (3.31)	4.71 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
54.1%

Draw
25.4%

Celta de Vigo
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

31.4%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Sociedad's performance.

Celta de Vigo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Celta de Vigo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Sociedad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celta de Vigo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.1%	14.5%	1.4%

Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo Predictions

Users Predictions: 69 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 58 - 84.1%). Celta will win (votes: 1 - 1.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 14.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 75.5% – 92.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (4.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - over (6.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Real Sociedad (1.23) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Sociedad will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 6 - 75%). Celta (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 2. Aramburu J. 5. Zubeldia I. 6. Martin J. 17. Gomez S. 14. Kubo T. 8. Turrientes B. 21. Herrera Y. 7. Barrenetxea A. 9. Oskarsson O. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C)	13. Radu I. (G) 15. Nunez A. 18. Lago Y. 3. Alonso M. (C) 17. Rueda J. 8. Roman M. 6. Moriba I. 5. Carreira S. 28. Antanon A. 9. Jutgla F. 19. Swedberg W.
Substitutes
34. Beitia L. 22. Fort H. 4. Gorrotxategi J. 11. Guedes G. 29. Marchal A. 13. Marrero U. (G) 3. Munoz A. 12. Ochieng J. 19. Sarr M. 18. Soler C. 24. Sucic L. 23. Zakharyan A.	23. Alvarez H. 10. Aspas I. 1. Bayindir A. (G) 30. Burcio H. 24. Driouech C. 11. Duran P. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 4. Faye A. 22. Galan J. 16. Gonzalez H. 20. Rodriguez J. 2. Starfelt C.
Coaches
Matarazzo P.	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Herrera Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Lago Y. 🟨,
57', Alonso M. 🟨,
61', Herrera Y. ↓, Gorrotxategi J. ↑,
61', Kubo T. ↓, Sucic L. ↑,
63', Antanon A. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
63', Swedberg W. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
69', Jutgla F. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
71', Oskarsson O. ↓, Guedes G. ↑,
71', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Marchal A. ↑,
79', Driouech C. 🟨,
81', Sucic L. 🟨,
84', Nunez A. ↓, Galan J. ↑,
84', Rueda J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
88', Turrientes B. ↓, Soler C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 2.

Real Sociedad is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Celta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Real Sociedad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Real Sociedad has had a series of away games.

In this match, Real Sociedad is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Marin P. (Injury) Odriozola A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Celta: Febas A. (Ribs Injury) Iglesias B. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Real Sociedad: 0.42% Celta Vigo: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9:13	-4	10
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8:6	2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Real Sociedad - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 40.42%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
29.08.26	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	4:1 ✺
21.08.26	Betis - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Chelsea - Real Sociedad	3:1 ✺
31.07.26	Toulouse - Real Sociedad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLLL
- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
30.08.26	Celta de Vigo - Athletic Bilbao	0:2 ✺
27.08.26	Celta de Vigo - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Valencia - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Sassuolo - Celta de Vigo	1:4 ✺
29.07.26	Celta de Vigo - Académico de Viseu	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
25.01.26	Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo	3:1
19.10.25	Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad	1:1
13.05.25	Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo	0:1
21.12.24	Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad	2:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
23.01.24	Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad	1:2
Spanish LaLiga
20.01.24	Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad	0:1
19.08.23	Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo	1:1

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