Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Municipal de Barreiro (Vigo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Celta de Vigo B		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.5
	2.05	3.1	3.55
	2.04	3.26	3.76
	1.90	3.32	3.99	Watch
	1.99	3.06	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.9)	3.15 ↓ (3.32)	3.7 ↓ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo B
46%

Draw
29.2%

Talavera de la Reina
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

27.9%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Celta de Vigo B - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 2. Gavian P. 22. Ndiaye S. M. 26. Rodriguez A. 4. Vazquez J. 19. Marcos O. 8. Antanon A. 5. Burcio H. 16. Capdevila A. 21. Bilbao L. 9. Marin A.	1. Gonzalez J. (G) 23. Farrando M. 5. Molina S. 4. Lopez A. (C) 2. Cuenca D. 8. Sanchez L. 16. Navarro I. 6. Pitu 17. Ouacharaf B. 7. Di Renzo G. 21. Montero Sergio
Substitutes
31. Arceo C. 13. Caio Barone (G) 10. de la Iglesia D. 7. Gonzalez H. 4025. Gonzalez M. (G) 32. Khayat A. 18. Lopez J. 23. Miller G. 27. Rodriguez N. 17. Somuah B. 20. Tarba I.	18. Capo P. 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. 19. Gomez V. 14. Molina A. 9. Moreno M. 13. Rocafort R. (G) 3. Roig A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
8', Ndiaye S. M. 🟨,
12', Marin A. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Montero Sergio ⚽,
24', Montero Sergio 🟨,
30', 0 - 2, Bilbao L. (Own goal),
45+1', Di Renzo G. 🟨,
45+5', 0 - 3, Cuenca D. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Bilbao L. ↓, Arcos A. ↑,
46', Capdevila A. ↓, Gonzalez H. ↑,
46', Ndiaye S. M. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
55', 1 - 3, Antanon A. ⚽,
57', 2 - 3, Marin A. ⚽,
60', Navarro I. ↓, Capo P. ↑,
60', Montero Sergio ↓, Molina A. ↑,
60', Farrando M. ↓, Gallardo Rodriguez E. ↑,
63', Capo P. 🟨,
64', Cuenca D. 🟨,
70', Cuenca D. ↓, Roig A. ↑,
71', Sanchez L. ↓, Gomez V. ↑,
74', 3 - 3, Antanon A. ⚽,
80', Antanon A. ↓, de la Iglesia D. ↑,
87', Gavian P. 🟨,
87', Marin A. ↓, Somuah B. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 3, Somuah B. ⚽,
90+7', Arcos A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta de Vigo B won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Celta de Vigo B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Celta de Vigo B is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Celta de Vigo B won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Celta de Vigo B won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.11.25	Osasuna B - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Celta de Vigo B - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Lugo - Celta de Vigo B	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Celta de Vigo B - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Celta de Vigo B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWLTW
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.11.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Talavera de la Reina	1:4 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.10.25	Talavera de la Reina - Osasuna B	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Real Avilés - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Talavera de la Reina - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.04.23	Celta de Vigo B - Talavera de la Reina	1:1
07.12.22	Talavera de la Reina - Celta de Vigo B	1:0
16.04.22	Talavera de la Reina - Celta de Vigo B	1:2
12.12.21	Celta de Vigo B - Talavera de la Reina	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.04.18	Celta de Vigo B - Talavera de la Reina	1:1
03.12.17	Talavera de la Reina - Celta de Vigo B	3:0

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