Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera C - Apertura - Round 25

Date: 29 June 2024, Saturday


	Central Ballester		Lugano

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	4.75
	1.66	3.5	4.75
	1.67	3.45	4.55
	1.72	3.29	4.94
	1.67	3.25	4.5
	1.64	3.58	4.82
	1.63	3.45	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.82)	3.43 ↑ (3.1)	4.74 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Ballester
54.6%

Draw
26.4%

Lugano
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

29.4%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

28.5%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Ballester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Ballester than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Central Ballester - Lugano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+5', 1 - 0, Vetencol E. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 1 - 1, Castro L. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 25).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Central Ballester won 1.

Recent matches Central Ballester is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lugano is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lugano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Central Ballester is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Central Ballester won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Central Ballester won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Ballester
Argentinian Primera C
23.06.24	Puerto Nuevo - Central Ballester	0:0 ✺
19.06.24	Central Ballester - Central Córdoba de Rosario	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Mercedes - Central Ballester	1:1 ✺
08.06.24	Central Ballester - Deportivo Muñiz	1:0 ✺
01.06.24	General Lamadrid - Central Ballester	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWTWL
- CA Lugano
Argentinian Primera C
23.06.24	Lugano - Atlético Claypole	1:3 ✺
19.06.24	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Lugano	0:0 ✺
08.06.24	Lugano - Puerto Nuevo	0:4 ✺
01.06.24	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Lugano	2:0 ✺
27.05.24	Lugano - Mercedes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera D
14.10.23	Lugano - Central Ballester	0:0
08.07.23	Central Ballester - Lugano	1:2
29.04.23	Lugano - Central Ballester	2:0
04.10.22	Lugano - Central Ballester	3:2
16.07.22	Central Ballester - Lugano	1:0
25.09.21	Lugano - Central Ballester	0:2
17.05.21	Central Ballester - Lugano	1:0

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