Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades (Santiago del Estero)

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Central Córdoba		Deportivo Riestra

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.55	2.82	Watch
	2.85	2.65	2.85
	3.1	2.5	2.92
	3.22	2.58	3.03
	3.12	2.56	2.93
	3	2.45	2.8
	3.14	2.63	2.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.78)	2.56 ↓ (2.59)	2.89 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Córdoba
30.6%

Draw
36.8%

Deportivo Riestra
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

35.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

34.6%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Córdoba than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	88.9%	0%

Central Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Central Córdoba will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 68.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aguerre A. (C) 33. Moyano S. 42. Pignani J. 2. Maciel A. R. 6. Mansilla F. 7. Barrera D. 22. Vera M. 55. Cardozo J. 18. Gonzalez L. 19. Naya E. 27. Santos M.	1. Arce I. (G) 15. Sansotre N. 19. Randazzo J. (C) 22. Paz C. 24. Mino F. 5. Ramirez P. 14. Monje P. 20. Garcia M. 7. Alonso A. 10. Diaz A. 40. Obredor G.
Substitutes
17. Casermeiro Y. 5. Cravero T. 29. Flores J. 10. Iacobellis M. 37. Laprida A. 3. Marchi L. 20. Martinez F. 23. Quiroga A. 30. Rodriguez F. 11. Tijanovich H. 25. Vallejos J. (G) 9. Varaldo L.	6. Barbieri M. 8. Benegas N. 32. Flores G. 13. Gallo R. 27. Goitia J. 9. Herrera J. 12. Lopez I. (G) 11. Nsumoh J. 28. Sayavedra R. 31. Smarra M. 35. Stringa A. 16. Watson N.
Coaches
Pusineri L.	Benitez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, Naya E. ⚽,
45+4', Benitez G. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gonzalez L. ↓, Cravero T. ↑,
57', Mino F. ↓, Smarra M. ↑,
57', Diaz A. ↓, Benegas N. ↑,
64', Benegas N. 🟨,
64', Monje P. ↓, Goitia J. ↑,
64', Obredor G. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
69', Barrera D. ↓, Tijanovich H. ↑,
69', Garcia M. 🟨,
75', Naya E. ↓, Quiroga A. ↑,
81', Ramirez P. 🟨,
82', Garcia M. ↓, Flores G. ↑,
83', Vera M. ↓, Casermeiro Y. ↑,
83', Moyano S. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
86', Arce I. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 14).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Deportivo Riestra has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Central Córdoba: Casermeiro Y. (Inactive) Juarez F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Bracamonte M. (Inactive) Gallo R. (Injury) Tovo E. (Knee Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Central Córdoba won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Central Córdoba won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Central Córdoba - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 32.87%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.03.26	Defensa y Justicia - Central Córdoba	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Independiente - Central Córdoba	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Central Córdoba - Talleres de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Central Córdoba - Tigre	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Instituto Córdoba - Central Córdoba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TLWTL
- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.03.26	Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
02.03.26	Deportivo Riestra - Platense	0:0 ✺
25.02.26	Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Deportivo Riestra - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
16.02.26	Deportivo Riestra - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.09.25	Deportivo Riestra - Central Córdoba	2:0
28.02.25	Central Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	0:0
05.08.24	Deportivo Riestra - Central Córdoba	1:0

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