Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Laza (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Deportivo Riestra		Platense

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.5	3.4	Watch
	2.45	2.6	3.5
	2.7	2.5	3.4	Watch
	2.75	2.52	3.66
	2.67	2.49	3.6	Watch
	2.6	2.4	3.4
	2.66	2.44	3.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.47)	2.49 ↓ (2.7)	3.5 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Riestra
35.6%

Draw
37.7%

Platense
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

35%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

35.5%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	54.5%	9.1%

Deportivo Riestra - Platense Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Platense will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Platense (1.42) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Platense (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Platense (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arce I. (G) 22. Paz C. 15. Sansotre N. 24. Mino F. 19. Randazzo J. 5. Ramirez P. 14. Monje P. 16. Watson N. 7. Alonso A. 9. Herrera J. 10. Diaz A.	20. Borgogno M. (G) 25. Saborido J. 13. Vazquez I. 31. Victor Cuesta 3. Silva T. 15. Amarfil M. 18. Merlini B. 7. Mainero G. 10. Zapiola F. 21. Lotti A. 9. Nasif T.
Substitutes
6. Barbieri M. 8. Benegas N. 3. Caro Nicolas 29. Dramisino A. 32. Flores G. 20. Garcia M. 27. Goitia J. 12. Lopez I. (G) 40. Obredor G. 28. Sayavedra R. 31. Smarra M. 35. Stringa A.	24. Barrios M. 17. Bussio F. 33. Gauto J. 5. Gomez I. 38. Ingenthron C. 4. Lagos A. 99. Lencina G. 34. Mendia M. 6. Raggio E. 43. Retamar K. 22. Sumavil N. (G)
Coaches
Benitez G.	Zunino W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Paz C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Diaz A. ↓, Obredor G. ↑,
65', Lotti A. ↓, Heredia L. ↑,
65', Nasif T. ↓, Lencina G. ↑,
67', Saborido J. 🟨,
71', Watson N. ↓, Dramisino A. ↑,
71', Monje P. ↓, Goitia J. ↑,
74', Ramirez P. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
77', Alonso A. ↓, Benegas N. ↑,
79', Amarfil M. 🟨,
82', Goitia J. 🟨,
82', Merlini B. ↓, Bussio F. ↑,
82', Mainero G. ↓, Retamar K. ↑,
85', Obredor G. 🟨,
87', Zapiola F. ↓, Gauto J. ↑,
88', Benegas N. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Platense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Platense has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Gallo R. (Injury) Tovo E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Platense: Bay J. (Knee Injury) Bobadilla H. (Muscle Injury) Gomez I. (Muscle Injury) Goni G. (Muscle Injury) Minerva F. (Muscle Injury) Ocampo A. (Inactive) Portillo M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Riestra won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Riestra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Riestra - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 38.28%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.02.26	Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Deportivo Riestra - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
16.02.26	Deportivo Riestra - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
09.02.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
05.02.26	Deportivo Riestra - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTTLW
- CA Platense
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.02.26	Platense - Defensa y Justicia	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Platense - Barracas Central	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Boca Juniors - Platense	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Platense - Independiente	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
04.02.26	Platense - Argentino Monte Maíz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.10.25	Platense - Deportivo Riestra	1:1
07.04.25	Deportivo Riestra - Platense	1:0
07.11.24	Platense - Deportivo Riestra	0:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.01.21	Platense - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 penalties

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