Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Laza (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Deportivo Riestra		Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza

	1	X	2
	2.01	2.57	5.5	Watch
	2.15	2.62	4.6
	2.17	2.69	4.99
	2.02	2.81	4.93	Watch
	2.1	2.45	4.6
	2.17	2.62	5.04	Watch
	2.07	3	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.07)	2.68 ↓ (3)	4.78 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportivo Riestra
45%

Draw
35.2%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

30.9%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

30.8%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Riestra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Deportivo Riestra will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Riestra (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Gimnasia Mendoza (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Riestra (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Gimnasia Mendoza (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arce I. (G) 5. Ramirez P. 19. Randazzo J. (C) 22. Paz C. 24. Mino F. 15. Sansotre N. 27. Goitia J. 20. Garcia M. 7. Alonso A. 40. Obredor G. 21. Ingratti J.	23. Rigamonti C. (G) 32. Paredes L. 4. Munoz E. 6. Gonzales 24. Saavedra F. 8. Linares N. 15. Sanchez U. 21. Antonini F. (C) 26. Lencioni F. 11. Rodriguez S. 29. Modica A.
Substitutes
6. Barbieri M. 8. Benegas N. 10. Diaz A. 32. Flores G. 9. Herrera J. 12. Lopez I. (G) 14. Monje P. 11. Nsumoh J. 28. Sayavedra R. 31. Smarra M. 35. Stringa A. 16. Watson N.	27. Armoa B. 5. Barboza N. 42. Carrera L. 19. Ceballos J. 30. Fernandez E. 9. Ferreyra B. 22. Franco J. 2. Mondino D. 20. Ortiz T. 31. Petruchi L. (G) 3. Recalde M. 35. Simoni V.
Coaches
Benitez G.	Broggi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Franco J. 🟨,
38', Gonzales ↓, Mondino D. ↑,
41', Garcia M. 🟨,
44', Randazzo J. 🟨,
45', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ingratti J. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
46', Modica A. ↓, Ferreyra B. ↑,
56', Obredor G. ↓, Benegas N. ↑,
67', Alonso A. ↓, Smarra M. ↑,
68', Garcia M. ↓, Monje P. ↑,
71', Sanchez U. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
76', Linares N. 🟨,
82', Benegas N. 🟨,
85', Goitia J. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
87', Lencioni F. ↓, Carrera L. ↑,
88', Rodriguez S. ↓, Simoni V. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 13).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Deportivo Riestra might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Deportivo Riestra: Gallo R. (Injury) Tovo E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Gimnasia Mendoza: Andrada B. (Muscle Injury) Romano N. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Gimnasia Mendoza: O'Connor T. (Knee Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Riestra won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Riestra won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.03.26	Deportivo Riestra - Platense	0:0 ✺
25.02.26	Vélez Sársfield - Deportivo Riestra	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Deportivo Riestra - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
16.02.26	Deportivo Riestra - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
09.02.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Deportivo Riestra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTTTL
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.02.26	Boca Juniors - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
24.02.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Independiente	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Instituto Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.03.22	Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:0
18.10.21	Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:1
22.06.21	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Deportivo Riestra	1:1
14.12.20	Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:3
07.10.19	Deportivo Riestra - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:0

Upcoming Matches