Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 5

Date: 9 June 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Central Español		Cerrito

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.2	3.95
	2.11	3.15	3.47
	1.89	3.38	4.18	Watch
	2.62	2.9	2.62
	1.83	3.26	4.08	Watch
	1.82	3.2	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.1)	3.18 ↑ (3.03)	3.71 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Español
45.9%

Draw
29.1%

Cerrito
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

30.1%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

29.5%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Cerrito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Central Español - Cerrito Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Central Español will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Cerrito will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Central Español: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Central Español will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Tarragona R. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Camarda F. ⚽,
35', 3 - 0, Camarda F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Central Español has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cerrito is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Central Español won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Central Español won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Español
Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.06.25	Central Español - Colón Montevideo	0:0 ✺
31.05.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Central Español	0:0 ✺
23.05.25	Central Español - Oriental de La Paz	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Central Español	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Central Español	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TTWLW
- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
03.06.25	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Cerrito - Rentistas	1:2 ✺
24.05.25	La Luz - Cerrito	2:2 ✺
17.05.25	Cerrito - Artigas	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Cerrito - Rentistas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.04.25	Cerrito - Central Español	1:2
09.10.20	Cerrito - Central Español	4:0
13.08.20	Central Español - Cerrito	0:1
24.08.19	Cerrito - Central Español	2:2

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