Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 1

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Uruguay Montevideo		Central Español

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.95	3.3
	2	3.15	3.88
	2.03	3.13	3.96	Watch
	2.01	3.1	4.02	Watch
	2.09	2.95	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.18)	3.06 ↓ (3.24)	3.69 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay Montevideo
45%

Draw
30.1%

Central Español
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

27.2%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Central Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Uruguay Montevideo - Central Español Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, ⚽,
51', 1 - 1, Mendez I. ⚽,
66', 2 - 1, Soria S. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uruguay Montevideo won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Uruguay Montevideo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Uruguay Montevideo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Uruguay Montevideo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.04.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Central Español	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Artigas	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Cerrito - Uruguay Montevideo	1:3 ✺
29.03.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Rentistas	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Albion Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWL
- Central Español
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.04.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Central Español	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Cerrito - Central Español	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	Central Español - Rentistas	0:1 ✺
04.04.25	Albion Montevideo - Central Español	1:2 ✺
24.03.25	Central Español - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.04.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Central Español	1:2
20.08.22	Central Español - Uruguay Montevideo	0:0
25.05.22	Uruguay Montevideo - Central Español	2:0
09.04.22	Uruguay Montevideo - Central Español	2:1
18.11.21	Uruguay Montevideo - Central Español	0:3
05.08.21	Central Español - Uruguay Montevideo	1:3

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