Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 3

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Charrúa (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cerrito		Rentistas

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.85	2.1
	3.45	2.9	2.17
	3.52	2.95	2.23
	3.52	2.97	2.25	Watch
	3.5	2.75	2.2
	3.22	3.33	2.18	Watch
	3.45	2.9	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.95)	2.95 ↓ (3.2)	2.19 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerrito
26.8%

Draw
31.1%

Rentistas
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

28.6%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

27.3%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerrito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Rentistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerrito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Cerrito - Rentistas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Alvez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 🟥,
64', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerrito won 2.

Cerrito is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Rentistas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rentistas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cerrito won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerrito won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.05.25	La Luz - Cerrito	2:2 ✺
17.05.25	Cerrito - Artigas	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Cerrito - Rentistas	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Cerrito - Central Español	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Cerrito	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLWLL
- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.05.25	Rentistas - Colón Montevideo	1:2 ✺
19.05.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Cerrito - Rentistas	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Rentistas - Albion Montevideo	0:0 ✺
11.04.25	Central Español - Rentistas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.04.25	Cerrito - Rentistas	1:0
18.08.24	Cerrito - Rentistas	0:2
18.05.24	Rentistas - Cerrito	0:1
13.04.24	Rentistas - Cerrito	1:0
12.11.23	Rentistas - Cerrito	1:1
25.06.23	Cerrito - Rentistas	1:0
24.03.23	Rentistas - Cerrito	0:0

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