Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 24

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Charrúa (Montevideo) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Brazil	16:00	Disney+
Mexico	13:00	Disney+
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Uruguay	16:00	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+


	Cerrito		Rentistas

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.00	2.30
	2.65	3.10	2.38
	2.83	3.15	2.58
	3.05	3.18	2.35	Watch
	2.80	2.95	2.50
	2.73	3.32	2.49
	2.75	3.00	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.5)	3.1 (3.1)	2.43 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerrito
32.7%

Draw
29.6%

Rentistas
37.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.9%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

28.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerrito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Rentistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Cerrito - Rentistas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Yepez I. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Yepez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', 2 - 1, ⚽,
79', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90', 🟥,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th and 3rd).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerrito won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Cerrito could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Cerrito has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:12 (averaging 0.7:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cerrito against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 5:6 goals (averaging 0.8:1 per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Rentistas	24	10	7	7	32:27	5	37
9	Cerrito	24	8	9	7	31:28	3	33

Last Results with these Odds

Cerrito - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.88%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Rentistas - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.18%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
17.10.26	Miramar Misiones - Cerrito	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Cerrito - Tacuarembó	2:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
07.10.26	Cerrito - Montevideo Wanderers	2:3 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.10.26	Plaza Colonia - Cerrito	1:3 ✺
27.09.26	Cerrito - La Luz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWL
- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
18.10.26	Rentistas - Atenas de San Carlos	3:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
15.10.26	Nacional Montevideo - Rentistas	3:0 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
10.10.26	Paysandú - Rentistas	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Rentistas - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
30.09.26	Cerro Largo - Rentistas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
18.07.26	Rentistas - Cerrito	0:0
20.08.25	Rentistas - Cerrito	0:1
31.05.25	Cerrito - Rentistas	1:2
27.04.25	Cerrito - Rentistas	1:0
18.08.24	Cerrito - Rentistas	0:2
18.05.24	Rentistas - Cerrito	0:1
13.04.24	Rentistas - Cerrito	1:0

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