Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 20

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Central Español		Rentistas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	2.92	3.2
	2.02	3.09	3.72
	2.43	2.88	3.16	Watch
	2.23	2.92	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.36)	2.95 ↓ (3.09)	3.33 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Español
41.4%

Draw
31.1%

Rentistas
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

29.3%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

28.6%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Rentistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Central Español - Rentistas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
87', 🟥,

Preview

Central Español is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Rentistas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rentistas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Central Español has had a series of away games.

Central Español is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Central Español won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Central Español won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Español
Uruguay Copa
09.09.25	Bella Vista - Central Español	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.09.25	La Luz - Central Español	0:4 ✺
31.08.25	Cerrito - Central Español	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Colón Montevideo - Central Español	0:0 ✺
19.08.25	Central Español - Deportivo Maldonado	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWTL
- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
07.09.25	Rentistas - Tacuarembó	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Artigas - Rentistas	1:2 ✺
26.08.25	La Luz - Rentistas	2:0 ✺
20.08.25	Rentistas - Cerrito	0:1 ✺
15.08.25	Colón Montevideo - Rentistas	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
21.06.25	Rentistas - Central Español	1:1
11.04.25	Central Español - Rentistas	0:1
10.08.19	Rentistas - Central Español	2:0

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