Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 12

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	La Luz		Rentistas

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.75	2.70
	2.38	2.90	2.80
	2.80	2.76	2.74
	2.81	2.81	2.8	Watch
	2.70	2.70	2.60
	2.72	2.73	2.64
	2.65	2.70	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.34)	2.76 ↓ (2.98)	2.7 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

La Luz
34%

Draw
32.7%

Rentistas
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

30.3%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

30.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Rentistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (-2%)

La Luz - Rentistas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', 1 - 3, ⚽,
55', 🟥,
63', 1 - 4, ⚽,
77', 1 - 5, ⚽,
80', 2 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 9).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Rentistas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, La Luz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, La Luz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rentistas	21	9	6	6	26:23	3	33
9	La Luz	21	7	6	8	19:24	-5	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Luz FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.07.26	Miramar Misiones - La Luz	0:1 ✺
13.07.26	La Luz - Tacuarembó	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Plaza Colonia - La Luz	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	River Plate Montevideo - La Luz	0:0 ✺
21.06.26	La Luz - Cerrito	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLTW
- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
18.07.26	Rentistas - Cerrito	0:0 ✺
12.07.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Rentistas	1:3 ✺
04.07.26	Rentistas - Paysandú	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Rentistas	1:2 ✺
21.06.26	Rentistas - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.08.25	La Luz - Rentistas	2:0
04.06.25	Rentistas - La Luz	3:2
11.10.24	La Luz - Rentistas	0:0
05.07.24	Rentistas - La Luz	1:1

Upcoming Matches