Match Info

Date: 29 July 2021, Thursday


	Danubio		Rocha

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.5
	1.8	3.25	4
	1.81	3.05	4.3
	1.87	3.15	4.73
	1.8	3	4.5
	1.89	3.26	3.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.12)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	4.34 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Danubio
50.1%

Draw
28.9%

Rocha
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

28.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

18.7%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Danubio's performance.

Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rocha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-21.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Danubio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rocha than the current prediction. (+22.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rocha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Danubio - Rocha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Play Offs) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Play Offs)).

Danubio is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Rocha is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rocha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Danubio is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
22.07.21	Danubio - Albion Montevideo	0:2 ✺
15.07.21	Rampla Juniors - Danubio	0:0 ✺
08.07.21	Danubio - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
01.07.21	Juventud de Las Piedras - Danubio	0:1 ✺
26.06.21	Danubio - Villa Teresa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTWWW
- Rocha FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
22.07.21	Rocha - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
14.07.21	Uruguay Montevideo - Rocha	2:1 ✺
08.07.21	Rocha - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1 ✺
01.07.21	Villa Teresa - Rocha	2:2 ✺
25.06.21	Rocha - Racing Montevideo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWTL

Danubio - Rocha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide