Match Info

Date: 15 September 2021, Wednesday


	Danubio		Central Español

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.6	4.4
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.64	3.35	5
	1.66	3.42	5.09
	1.65	3.2	5.25
	1.66	3.48	5.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.02)	3.44 ↑ (3)	5.05 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Danubio
55.6%

Draw
26.4%

Central Español
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

20.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Danubio's performance.

Central Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Central Español might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-25.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Danubio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Central Español could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Danubio - Central Español Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Danubio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Central Español is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Danubio will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Danubio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Danubio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
14.08.21	Danubio - Defensor Sporting	0:1 ✺
05.08.21	Cerro - Danubio	1:1 ✺
29.07.21	Danubio - Rocha	1:0 ✺
22.07.21	Danubio - Albion Montevideo	0:2 ✺
15.07.21	Rampla Juniors - Danubio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWLT
- Central Español
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.08.21	Rampla Juniors - Central Español	2:1 ✺
05.08.21	Central Español - Uruguay Montevideo	1:3 ✺
29.07.21	Juventud de Las Piedras - Central Español	1:1 ✺
24.07.21	Central Español - Villa Teresa	2:1 ✺
15.07.21	Racing Montevideo - Central Español	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
02.06.21	Central Español - Danubio	0:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.05.13	Danubio - Central Español	0:2
10.11.12	Central Español - Danubio	1:0

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