Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo María Mincheff de Lazaroff (Montevideo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	15:00	Disney+
Mexico	12:00	Disney+
Peru	13:00	Disney+
Uruguay	15:00	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	14:00	Disney+


	Danubio		Central Español

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.8	Watch
	1.98	3.20	3.60
	1.98	3.15	3.6
	2.1	3.26	4.01
	2	3.35	3.78	Watch
	2.07	3.05	3.95
	2.01	3.18	3.9	Watch
	2.01	3.25	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.94)	3.19 ↓ (3.39)	3.79 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Danubio
46.3%

Draw
29.2%

Central Español
24.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.2%

27.6%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

26%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Central Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Danubio - Central Español Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Danubio will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goicoechea M. (G) 4. Rinaldi M. 3. Rodriguez G. 19. Brasil M. 6. Sosa L. (C) 16. Rossi I. 38. Trasante J. 10. Peralta M. 8. Rodriguez S. 30. Fernandez S. 7. Cabrera E.	1. Pintado F. (G) 17. Fernandez L. 2. Rodriguez I. 14. Villoldo A. (C) 26. Cesar Nunes 24. Gandolfo G. 4. Montiel M. 8. Camarda F. 21. Pino L. 10. Aguilera M. 9. Tarragona R.
Substitutes
21. Azambuja B. 27. Costantino I. 20. Ferreira M. 33. Garcia D. 32. Martinez K. (G) 5. Millan J. 14. Pereira B. 26. Piriz D. 80. Tizon C. 2. Velazquez E.	12. Benitez A. (G) . Caro 3. Dupont J. 25. Madruga A. 16. Mendez I. 32. Montoro F. 7. Munoz F. 15. Pou J. 19. Sequeira S. 27. Sosa F.
Coaches
Rocco L.	Pacheco A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Rinaldi M. 🟨,
38', Trasante J. ↓, Tizon C. ↑,
45+7', Montiel M. 🟨,
45+8', 1 - 0, Fernandez S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rinaldi M. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
63', Fernandez S. ↓, Piriz D. ↑,
63', Rodriguez S. ↓, Millan J. ↑,
63', Montiel M. ↓, Sequeira S. ↑,
66', Gandolfo G. 🟨,
78', Cabrera E. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
82', Aguilera M. ↓, Montoro F. ↑,
83', Camarda F. ↓, Sosa F. ↑,
87', Millan J. 🟨,
90', Sequeira S. 🟨,
90+4', Cesar Nunes 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 1.

In recent outings, Danubio has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Central Español has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Danubio could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Central Español has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Danubio is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Danubio has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:6 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Danubio against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals (averaging 0.5:1.5 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Danubio	12	2	4	6	6:13	-7	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Danubio FC
Uruguay Copa
15.10.26	Central Español - Danubio	0:6 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.10.26	Montevideo City Torque - Danubio	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	Danubio - Cerro Largo	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Defensor Sporting - Danubio	1:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
24.09.26	Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWLT
- Central Español
Uruguay Copa
15.10.26	Central Español - Danubio	0:6 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.10.26	Central Español - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Central Español	3:0 ✺
27.09.26	Central Español - Liverpool Montevideo	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Central Español - Montevideo City Torque	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguay Copa
15.10.26	Central Español - Danubio	0:6
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.04.26	Central Español - Danubio	2:2
Uruguayan Segunda Division
15.09.21	Danubio - Central Español	1:1
02.06.21	Central Español - Danubio	0:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.05.13	Danubio - Central Español	0:2
10.11.12	Central Español - Danubio	1:0

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