Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - ROUND 20

Date: 9 July 2023, Sunday


	Central Norte		9 de Julio

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.33	8.25
	1.3	4.25	9
	1.3	3.71	8.26
	1.33	4.2	8
	1.31	4.5	9.9	Watch
	1.31	4.2	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.51)	4.2 ↑ (3.32)	8.84 ↑ (6.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Norte
68.5%

Draw
21.4%

9 de Julio
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

27.1%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

26.2%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Central Norte's performance.

9 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Central Norte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Julio than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Central Norte - 9 de Julio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Central Norte is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches 9 de Julio is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

9 de Julio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Central Norte is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Central Norte to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Central Norte won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Central Norte won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.07.23	Sol de América de Formosa - Central Norte	1:2 ✺
28.06.23	Boca Unidos - Central Norte	0:0 ✺
23.06.23	Central Norte - Juventud Antoniana	2:1 ✺
17.06.23	Crucero del Norte - Central Norte	1:2 ✺
11.06.23	Central Norte - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WTWWT
- CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.06.23	Sol de América de Formosa - 9 de Julio	1:0 ✺
24.06.23	9 de Julio - Boca Unidos	2:0 ✺
18.06.23	Juventud Antoniana - 9 de Julio	1:1 ✺
11.06.23	9 de Julio - Crucero del Norte	2:1 ✺
04.06.23	Gimnasia y Tiro - 9 de Julio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.05.23	9 de Julio - Central Norte	3:1
17.03.23	Central Norte - 9 de Julio	2:0

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