Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Round 15

Date: 23 June 2024, Sunday


	Central Norte		Juventud Antoniana

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.4	5.25
	1.57	3.5	5.5
	1.6	3.4	6.16
	1.55	3.33	6.25
	1.6	3.3	5.5
	1.64	3.3	5.43
	1.42	3.7	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.76)	3.42 ↑ (3.24)	5.8 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Norte
57.9%

Draw
26.5%

Juventud Antoniana
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

27.8%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

27.1%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Central Norte's performance.

Juventud Antoniana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud Antoniana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Central Norte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud Antoniana than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventud Antoniana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Central Norte - Juventud Antoniana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Sanchez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 2 - 0, Chavarria C. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 5 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Central Norte won 3.

Central Norte is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Juventud Antoniana is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Central Norte is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Central Norte to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Central Norte won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Central Norte won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
15.06.24	Crucero del Norte - Central Norte	0:1 ✺
09.06.24	Central Norte - Sol de América de Formosa	2:2 ✺
01.06.24	Unión de Sunchales - Central Norte	1:4 ✺
26.05.24	Central Norte - Boca Unidos	2:0 ✺
15.05.24	Central Norte - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWWT
- Juventud Antoniana
Argentinian Torneo Federal
14.06.24	Juventud Antoniana - Sarmiento de La Banda	2:1 ✺
09.06.24	General San Martín de Formosa - Juventud Antoniana	2:0 ✺
02.06.24	Juventud Antoniana - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0 ✺
19.05.24	Crucero del Norte - Juventud Antoniana	0:0 ✺
15.05.24	Sol de América de Formosa - Juventud Antoniana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.04.24	Juventud Antoniana - Central Norte	1:1
Club Friendly
01.03.24	Juventud Antoniana - Central Norte	0:2
Argentinian Torneo Federal
15.10.23	Central Norte - Juventud Antoniana	1:3
20.08.23	Juventud Antoniana - Central Norte	0:1
23.06.23	Central Norte - Juventud Antoniana	2:1
30.04.23	Juventud Antoniana - Central Norte	2:1
Club Friendly
05.02.23	Central Norte - Juventud Antoniana	0:1

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