Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Round 11

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday


	Central Norte		Boca Unidos

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.75	7
	1.42	3.75	8
	1.41	3.54	6.74
	1.41	3.54	6.74
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.37	4.05	8.3
	1.42	3.8	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.54)	3.7 ↓ (3.93)	7 ↑ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Norte
62.8%

Draw
24.3%

Boca Unidos
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

23.1%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

22.6%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Boca Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Unidos than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Central Norte - Boca Unidos Predictions

Users Predictions: Central Norte will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Lesman G. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, Lesman G. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Central Norte won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Central Norte could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Central Norte is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Central Norte won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Central Norte won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
15.05.24	Central Norte - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	General San Martín de Formosa - Central Norte	2:1 ✺
03.05.24	Central Norte - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:0 ✺
28.04.24	Juventud Antoniana - Central Norte	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Central Norte - Crucero del Norte	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWTW
- Boca Unidos
Argentinian Torneo Federal
19.05.24	Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:1 ✺
15.05.24	Boca Unidos - General San Martín de Formosa	2:2 ✺
10.05.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Boca Unidos	3:1 ✺
04.05.24	Boca Unidos - Juventud Antoniana	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Crucero del Norte - Boca Unidos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
31.03.24	Boca Unidos - Central Norte	0:0
29.10.23	Boca Unidos - Central Norte	1:0
27.08.23	Central Norte - Boca Unidos	3:0
28.06.23	Boca Unidos - Central Norte	0:0
07.05.23	Central Norte - Boca Unidos	3:0
28.08.22	Central Norte - Boca Unidos	3:1
22.05.22	Boca Unidos - Central Norte	3:3

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