Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	DirecTV Sports


	Central Norte		Santamarina de Tandil

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.3	6.75
	1.52	3.3	7
	1.55	2.96	7.2
				Watch
	1.49	3.36	7.65
	1.52	3.3	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.85)	3.24 ↑ (3)	7.12 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Norte
59.5%

Draw
27.8%

Santamarina de Tandil
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

30.5%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

29.4%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Central Norte's performance.

Santamarina de Tandil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santamarina de Tandil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Central Norte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santamarina de Tandil than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santamarina de Tandil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Central Norte - Santamarina de Tandil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Lesman G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Central Norte is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Santamarina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Central Norte is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Central Norte won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.09.24	Santamarina de Tandil - Central Norte	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	9 de Julio - Central Norte	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Central Norte - Sol de América de Formosa	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - Central Norte	3:2 ✺
18.08.24	Central Norte - Sportivo Belgrano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWWLW
- Santamarina de Tandil
Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.09.24	Santamarina de Tandil - Central Norte	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Santamarina de Tandil	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Santamarina de Tandil - Gutiérrez de Mendoza	4:0 ✺
25.08.24	Ciudad de Bolívar - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	Santamarina de Tandil - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.09.24	Santamarina de Tandil - Central Norte	0:0

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