Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 5

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday


	Central Norte		Sportivo Belgrano

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.25	5
	1.68	3.4	4.75
	1.62	3.45	5.27
	1.66	3.45	5.08	Watch
	1.65	3.22	5.58
	1.68	3.4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.79)	3.36 ↑ (3.1)	5.07 ↑ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Norte
55%

Draw
27.1%

Sportivo Belgrano
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

29.1%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

28.4%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Sportivo Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Central Norte - Sportivo Belgrano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Blanco E. J. ⚽,
72', 2 - 0, Lesman G. ⚽,
88', 3 - 0, Lopez E. ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Central Norte won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Central Norte is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Central Norte won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Central Norte won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.08.24	Atenas Río Cuarto - Central Norte	1:2 ✺
04.08.24	Central Norte - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	1:0 ✺
28.07.24	General San Martín de Formosa - Central Norte	2:1 ✺
21.07.24	Central Norte - Sarmiento de La Banda	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Central Norte	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWL
- Sportivo Belgrano
Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.08.24	Sportivo Belgrano - Sol de América de Formosa	2:1 ✺
04.08.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - Sportivo Belgrano	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	Sportivo Belgrano - Atenas Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
14.07.24	Sportivo Belgrano - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:0 ✺
30.06.24	Douglas Haig - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
25.09.22	Central Norte - Sportivo Belgrano	1:1
18.06.22	Sportivo Belgrano - Central Norte	0:1
01.09.21	Sportivo Belgrano - Central Norte	0:2
09.05.21	Central Norte - Sportivo Belgrano	1:1
17.01.21	Central Norte - Sportivo Belgrano	3:4 penalties
17.11.19	Central Norte - Sportivo Belgrano	0:1

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