Match Info

BRAZIL: Pernambucano - Round 9

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Luiz Jose de Lacerda (Caruaru)


	Central SC		Retrô Brasil

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.05	2.12
	3.24	3.22	2.15
	3.22	3.26	2.12
	3.2	3.1	2.1
	3.25	3.18	2.1
	3.2	3.05	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.25)	3.14 ↑ (2.95)	2.12 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central SC
28.2%

Draw
28.9%

Retrô Brasil
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

30.2%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

29.9%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Retrô Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central SC than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Central SC - Retrô Brasil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Milton Raphael (G) 8. Danielzinho 5. Diego Aragao 10. Elivelton 4. Janelson 7. Jefferson Oliveira 3. Lazarini 6. Leozinho 19. Thoni Brandao 2. Vivico 17. Wisney	24. da Silva Santos D. L. (G) 3. Claudinho 18. Franco R. 2. Gedeilson 29. Junior Fialho 28. Lucas Grafite 13. Luiz Henrique 30. Maycon Douglas 4. Rayan Ribeiro 5. Romulo 15. Walce
Substitutes
13. Caua 23. Cesar Tanaka (G) 9. Everton Lino 21. Flavio 20. Hernandes de Lucena H. 12. Juca (G) 11. Leandro Costa 15. Luis Guilherme 14. Matheus Leonardo 16. Paulinho 18. Vini Bala	19. Danillo 25. Ericson 12. Fabian Volpi (G) 7. Fabinho 20. Gledson 6. Gustavo Salomao 9. Mascote 8. Radsley

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Lazarini 🟨,
22', Wisney 🟨,
29', Franco R. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Elivelton ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Maycon Douglas ↓, Gustavo Salomao ↑,
46', Rayan Ribeiro ↓, Mascote ↑,
46', Gedeilson ↓, Fabinho ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Thoni Brandao ⚽,
57', 2 - 1, Franco R. ⚽,
67', Junior Fialho ↓, Ericson ↑,
72', 3 - 1, Thoni Brandao ⚽,
75', 🟨,
78', Danielzinho ↓, Luis Guilherme ↑,
78', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
88', Thoni Brandao ↓, Leandro Costa ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation ~ Pernambucano and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Retrô is Qualified for Pernambucano (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Central PE is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Retrô is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Retrô will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Central PE won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2:12 (average 0.4:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Central PE won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central SC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
16.02.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Central SC	2:1 ✺
10.02.25	Central SC - Decisão	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Petrolina - Central SC	0:0 ✺
29.01.25	Afogados da Ingazeira - Central SC	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Central SC - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTTL
- Retrô Brasil
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
16.02.25	Retrô Brasil - Decisão	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Petrolina - Retrô Brasil	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Retrô Brasil - Náutico Capibaribe	1:0 ✺
28.01.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Retrô Brasil - Jaguar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
28.01.24	Retrô Brasil - Central SC	2:0
16.01.23	Retrô Brasil - Central SC	2:0
05.05.21	Retrô Brasil - Central SC	2:1
04.04.21	Central SC - Retrô Brasil	1:4
18.01.20	Central SC - Retrô Brasil	0:2

Central SC - Retrô Brasil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide