Match Info

USA: USL League One

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Fresno State Soccer Stadium (Fresno, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Central Valley Fuego		Greenville Triumph

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.2	3.6	1.88
	3.25	3.65	1.92
	3.35	3.77	1.91
	4.04	3.94	1.77	Watch
	3.32	3.68	1.9	Watch
	3.25	3.65	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (3.3)	3.72 ↑ (3.66)	1.88 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Valley Fuego
26.9%

Draw
24.6%

Greenville Triumph
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

25%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

24.1%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Valley Fuego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Greenville Triumph has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Valley Fuego than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Central Valley Fuego - Greenville Triumph Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zuluaga A. (G) 15. Torr C. 33. Vinberg S. 24. Bustamante B. 32. Mariona J. 8. Heckenberg C. (C) 34. Garcia K. 9. Benson Bodden D. O. 10. Carrera J. 7. John-Brown S. 35. Smuck Z.	1. Rankenburg G. (G) 22. Shultz N. 2. Wu D. 5. Fricke B. (C) 3. Polak T. 8. Herrera C. 17. Scarlett Z. 10. Velasquez S. 12. Lee E. 9. MacKinnon L. 25. Castro L.
Substitutes
3. Apollon A. 23. Avilez C. (G) 17. Lemus O. 11. Mendiola R. 20. Midence A. 31. Nembhard D. 14. Vazquez Z.	20. Anderson H. 6. Anguiano C. 16. Corvino P. 19. Gabo H. 23. Garner C. (G) 15. Hald O. 29. Robles R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Smuck Z. ↓, Midence A. ↑,
34', Carrera J. 🟨,
39', Scarlett Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', MacKinnon L. ↓, Anderson H. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, ⚽,
83', 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).

Greenville is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fuego won 0.

Fuego is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Greenville is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Greenville could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Greenville will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Fuego won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:10 (average 0.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Fuego won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Valley Fuego
USL League One
15.10.24	One Knoxville - Central Valley Fuego	2:1 ✺
09.10.24	Central Valley Fuego - Spokane Velocity	1:0 ✺
02.10.24	Central Valley Fuego - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Greenville Triumph - Central Valley Fuego	2:2 ✺
18.09.24	Lexington - Central Valley Fuego	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLTL
- Greenville Triumph
USL League One
12.10.24	Spokane Velocity - Greenville Triumph	2:3 ✺
05.10.24	Greenville Triumph - Lexington	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Greenville Triumph - Central Valley Fuego	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph	2:5 ✺
07.09.24	Union Omaha - Greenville Triumph	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
21.09.24	Greenville Triumph - Central Valley Fuego	2:2
04.10.23	Central Valley Fuego - Greenville Triumph	1:2
17.06.23	Central Valley Fuego - Greenville Triumph	0:1
19.04.23	Greenville Triumph - Central Valley Fuego	3:0
09.07.22	Greenville Triumph - Central Valley Fuego	1:0
07.05.22	Central Valley Fuego - Greenville Triumph	1:1

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