Match Info

USA: USL League One

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Paladin Stadium (Greenville, SC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Greenville Triumph		Central Valley Fuego

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4.33	5
	1.45	4.33	5.5
	1.54	4.5	4.98
	1.48	4.61	5.74	Watch
	1.53	4.2	4.89	Watch
	1.5	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.52)	4.36 ↑ (4.24)	5.19 ↑ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greenville Triumph
61.3%

Draw
21%

Central Valley Fuego
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

21.6%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

15%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greenville Triumph has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Central Valley Fuego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Greenville Triumph that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Valley Fuego than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Central Valley Fuego could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Greenville Triumph - Central Valley Fuego Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Garner C. (G) 4. Smith J. 12. Lee E. 5. Fricke B. 3. Polak T. (C) 20. Anderson H. 16. Corvino P. 8. Herrera C. 9. MacKinnon L. 25. Castro L. 17. Scarlett Z.	23. Avilez C. (G) 15. Torr C. 3. Apollon A. 31. Nembhard D. 17. Lemus O. 8. Heckenberg C. (C) 7. John-Brown S. 9. Benson Bodden D. O. 32. Mariona J. 10. Carrera J. 20. Midence A.
Substitutes
6. Anguiano C. 1. Rankenburg G. (G) 29. Robles R. 22. Shultz N. 10. Velasquez S. 2. Wu D. 7. Zakowski B.	34. Garcia K. 35. Smuck Z. 14. Vazquez Z. 33. Vinberg S. 19. Williams T. 1. Zuluaga A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Midence A. ⚽, Apollon A. (A),
25', Midence A. 🟨,
28', Torr C. 🟨,
31', Apollon A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Anderson H. ↓, Zakowski B. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, MacKinnon L. (Pen),
65', Castro L. ↓, Velasquez S. ↑,
75', Polak T. 🟨,
78', Benson Bodden D. O. 🟨,
78', Benson Bodden D. O. ↓, Garcia K. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, John-Brown S. ⚽, Lemus O. (A),
83', 2 - 2, Nembhard D. (Own goal),
84', Carrera J. 🟨,
85', Corvino P. ↓, Anguiano C. ↑,
88', Scarlett Z. 🟨,
90+4', Lemus O. 🟨,
90+6', Midence A. ↓, Smuck Z. ↑,
90+6', Herrera C. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greenville Triumph
USL League One
14.09.24	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph	2:5 ✺
07.09.24	Union Omaha - Greenville Triumph	3:1 ✺
USL Cup
30.08.24	Greenville Triumph - Charlotte Independence	0:1 ✺
USL League One
25.08.24	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Greenville Triumph	3:0 ✺
16.08.24	Greenville Triumph - Richmond Kickers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLT
- Central Valley Fuego
USL League One
18.09.24	Lexington - Central Valley Fuego	7:1 ✺
07.09.24	Spokane Velocity - Central Valley Fuego	3:2 ✺
USL Cup
30.08.24	Central Valley Fuego - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	0:1 ✺
USL League One
24.08.24	Charlotte Independence - Central Valley Fuego	4:0 ✺
16.08.24	Central Valley Fuego - Lexington	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
04.10.23	Central Valley Fuego - Greenville Triumph	1:2
17.06.23	Central Valley Fuego - Greenville Triumph	0:1
19.04.23	Greenville Triumph - Central Valley Fuego	3:0
09.07.22	Greenville Triumph - Central Valley Fuego	1:0
07.05.22	Central Valley Fuego - Greenville Triumph	1:1

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