The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lexington 47.4%
Draw 24%
Central Valley Fuego 28.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47%
25.2%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
19%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Central Valley Fuego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lexington that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Valley Fuego than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Central Valley Fuego could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lexington - Central Valley Fuego Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Knight A. (G) 21. Young C. 44. Mendez M. 16. Uche C. 12. Corrales J. (C) 11. Cerritos A. 19. Canadi M. 8. Yankam Y. 32. Diouf A. 77. Brown N. 17. Lancaster C.
1. Zuluaga A. (G) 15. Torr C. 24. Bustamante B. 31. Nembhard D. 33. Vinberg S. 8. Heckenberg C. (C) 10. Carrera J. 7. John-Brown S. 14. Vazquez Z. 20. Midence A. 32. Mariona J.
Substitutes
18. Agboola M. 7. Cano I. 1. Causey A. (G) 5. Fox K. 20. Lacey K. 25. Mane P. 2. Robertson T.
3. Apollon A. 23. Avilez C. (G) 9. Benson Bodden D. O. 34. Garcia K. 17. Lemus O. 35. Smuck Z. 19. Williams T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Diouf A. ⚽, Brown N. (A),
22', Torr C. 🟨,
24', 2 - 0, Lancaster C. ⚽, Brown N. (A),
27', Mendez M. 🟨,
34', 3 - 0, Lancaster C. ⚽, Diouf A. (A),
37', Vinberg S. 🟨,
39', Lancaster C. 🟨,
45+1', 4 - 0, Lancaster C. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Mendez M. ↓, Fox K. ↑,
46', Vinberg S. ↓, Apollon A. ↑,
56', 4 - 1, Heckenberg C. ⚽, Midence A. (A),
61', Mariona J. ↓, Garcia K. ↑,
61', John-Brown S. ↓, Lemus O. ↑,
63', Nembhard D. 🟨,
64', Yankam Y. 🟨,
67', 5 - 1, Fox K. ⚽, Canadi M. (A),
69', Lancaster C. ↓, Lacey K. ↑,
70', Cerritos A. ↓, Robertson T. ↑,
71', Knight A. 🟨,
74', Vazquez Z. ↓, Smuck Z. ↑,
78', Heckenberg C. 🟨,
79', Heckenberg C. ↓, Williams T. ↑,
82', Diouf A. ↓, Cano I. ↑,
82', Yankam Y. ↓, Agboola M. ↑,
85', 6 - 1, Brown N. ⚽, Robertson T. (A),
87', Bustamante B. 🟥,
90+5', 7 - 1, Lacey K. ⚽, Cano I. (A),
Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 12).
Lexington is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Fuego has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Fuego could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Lexington will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lexington won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Lexington won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.
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Knight A. (G) 
Young C. 
Mendez M. 
Cerritos A. 
Canadi M. 
Yankam Y. 
Diouf A. 
Lancaster C. 
Nembhard D. 
John-Brown S. 
Midence A. 
Apollon A. 
Avilez C. (G) 
Williams T. 
