Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 34

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Yodoko Sakura Stadium (Osaka)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball, QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Cerezo Osaka		Júbilo Iwata

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.83	3.5	4.2
	1.83	3.56	3.95	Watch
	1.92	3.68	4.26
	1.89	3.68	4	Watch
	1.8	3.5	3.9
	1.87	3.66	4.18	Watch
	1.85	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.83)	3.59 ↑ (3.56)	4.1 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerezo Osaka
50.8%

Draw
26.3%

Júbilo Iwata
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

26.2%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

25.3%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	13.3%	0%

Cerezo Osaka - Júbilo Iwata Predictions

Users Predictions: Cerezo Osaka will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 3. Shindo R. 10. Tanaka S. 33. Nishio R. 17. Sakata R. 25. Okuno H. 5. Kida H. 19. Tameda H. 38. Kitano S. 77. Fernandes L. 9. Leo Ceara	1. Kawashima E. (G) 6. Ito M. 32. Hilo H. 36. Ricardo Graca 14. Matsumoto M. 16. Leo Gomes 25. Nakamura S. 4. Matsubara K. 23. Croux J. 18. Takahata K. 11. Germain R.
Substitutes
27. Capixaba 16. Okuda H. 48. Shibayama M. 24. Toriumi K. 7. Uejo S. 34. Yamada H. 1. Yang Han-Been (G)	40. Kaneko S. 99. Matheus Peixoto 21. Miura R. (G) 26. Nishikubo S. 15. Suzuki K. 7. Uehara R. 10. Yamada H.
Coaches
Kogiku A.	Yokouchi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Germain R. ⚽,
22', Leo Gomes 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Hilo H. 🟨,
62', Okuno H. ↓, Uejo S. ↑,
62', Kitano S. ↓, Capixaba ↑,
64', Croux J. ↓, Yamada H. ↑,
71', 0 - 2, Germain R. ⚽, Takahata K. (A),
77', Nakamura S. ↓, Uehara R. ↑,
78', Sakata R. ↓, Okuda H. ↑,
78', Kida H. ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
87', Matsumoto M. ↓, Nishikubo S. ↑,
87', Germain R. ↓, Matheus Peixoto ↑,
87', Takahata K. ↓, Kaneko S. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Leo Ceara ⚽, Capixaba (A),
89', Shindo R. ↓, Yamada H. ↑,
90+3', Matsubara K. 🟨,
90+8', (Pen),

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 3.

Cerezo Osaka is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Iwata is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Cerezo Osaka is a favorite.

There will not play in Iwata: Morioka R. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Funaki K. (Leg Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:11 (average 1.2:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Cerezo Osaka won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 1.1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League
05.10.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka	0:1 ✺
02.10.24	Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Shonan Bellmare - Cerezo Osaka	1:2 ✺
13.09.24	Vissel Kobe - Cerezo Osaka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWTWL
- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J1 League
06.10.24	Júbilo Iwata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2 ✺
28.09.24	Nagoya Grampus - Júbilo Iwata	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Júbilo Iwata - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Júbilo Iwata	0:2 ✺
25.08.24	Júbilo Iwata - Consadole Sapporo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
22.06.24	Júbilo Iwata - Cerezo Osaka	1:1
17.09.22	Júbilo Iwata - Cerezo Osaka	2:2
06.05.22	Cerezo Osaka - Júbilo Iwata	2:1
24.08.19	Júbilo Iwata - Cerezo Osaka	0:2
22.06.19	Cerezo Osaka - Júbilo Iwata	2:0
14.09.18	Cerezo Osaka - Júbilo Iwata	1:1
28.04.18	Júbilo Iwata - Cerezo Osaka	1:1

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