Match Info

WE League Cup Women - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Cerezo Osaka		Omiya Ardija

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.20	2.40
	2.52	3.15	2.45
	2.54	3.35	2.58
	2.49	3.35	2.54	Watch
	2.50	3.00	2.55
	2.57	3.39	2.52
	2.50	3.20	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.12)	3.23 ↓ (3.6)	2.5 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cerezo Osaka
35.9%

Draw
27.9%

Omiya Ardija
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

25.5%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

25%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerezo Osaka's form might have worsened.

Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerezo Osaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Omiya Ardija, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cerezo Osaka - Omiya Ardija Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
58', 0 - 2, Oshima H. ⚽,
61', 0 - 3, Nishio H. ⚽,
75', 1 - 3, Takarada S. ⚽,
86', 2 - 3, Ikeda Y. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 8th and 6th in the Promotion - WE League Cup Women Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Cerezo Osaka has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:7 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cerezo Osaka against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:4 goals (averaging 1.7:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Omiya Ardija W	6	3	0	1	11:8	3	12
8	C-Osaka W	6	3	0	3	11:11	0	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerezo Osaka Women
Japan WE League Cup Women
04.10.26	Albirex Niigata - Cerezo Osaka	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Cerezo Osaka - NTV Beleza	1:4 ✺
23.09.26	Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Nagano Parceiro - Cerezo Osaka	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Cerezo Osaka - Chifure AS Elfen Saitama	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWWL
- Omiya Ardija Women
Japan WE League Cup Women
04.10.26	Nojima Stella Kanagawa Sagamihara - Omiya Ardija	1:2 penalties ✺
27.09.26	Omiya Ardija - JEF United Chiba	1:2 penalties ✺
23.09.26	Omiya Ardija - MyNavi Sendai	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Omiya Ardija	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Omiya Ardija - Nagano Parceiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan WE League Cup Women
19.04.26	Omiya Ardija - Cerezo Osaka	1:0
Japan WE League Women
14.02.26	Omiya Ardija - Cerezo Osaka	1:0
05.10.25	Cerezo Osaka - Omiya Ardija	2:1
17.05.25	Cerezo Osaka - Omiya Ardija	1:2
29.09.24	Omiya Ardija - Cerezo Osaka	0:4
06.05.24	Cerezo Osaka - Omiya Ardija	2:1
18.11.23	Omiya Ardija - Cerezo Osaka	1:0

Cerezo Osaka - Omiya Ardija: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide