Match Info

Date: 22 June 2022, Wednesday

Location: Yodoko Sakura Stadium (Osaka)


	Cerezo Osaka		Vegalta Sendai

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.5
	1.75	3.5	3.9
	1.8	3.7	4.05
	1.75	3.5	4
	1.79	3.74	3.94
	1.73	3.4	4.2
	1.79	3.74	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.11)	3.6 ↑ (3)	4.13 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerezo Osaka
52.1%

Draw
25.6%

Vegalta Sendai
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

30.1%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

31%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cerezo Osaka's performance.

Vegalta Sendai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cerezo Osaka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vegalta Sendai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.4%	21.1%	10.5%

Cerezo Osaka - Vegalta Sendai Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Sendai will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerezo Osaka: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 3.

Cerezo Osaka is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sendai is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cerezo Osaka will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Cerezo Osaka won 6 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 27-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Cerezo Osaka won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League
18.06.22	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka	2:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
11.06.22	Shonan Bellmare - Cerezo Osaka	1:4 ✺
04.06.22	Cerezo Osaka - Shonan Bellmare	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
01.06.22	Cerezo Osaka - Kansai University	3:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
29.05.22	Shonan Bellmare - Cerezo Osaka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWW
- Vegalta Sendai
Japan J2 League
18.06.22	Vegalta Sendai - Yokohama FC	2:3 ✺
11.06.22	Tokushima Vortis - Vegalta Sendai	2:2 ✺
05.06.22	JEF United Chiba - Vegalta Sendai	2:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
01.06.22	Vegalta Sendai - Honda FC	2:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.05.22	Vegalta Sendai - Tochigi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
09.08.21	Cerezo Osaka - Vegalta Sendai	0:0
30.05.21	Vegalta Sendai - Cerezo Osaka	1:1
27.09.20	Vegalta Sendai - Cerezo Osaka	2:3
23.08.20	Cerezo Osaka - Vegalta Sendai	2:1
Japan J League Cup
12.08.20	Vegalta Sendai - Cerezo Osaka	0:3
Japan J1 League
20.07.19	Cerezo Osaka - Vegalta Sendai	0:0
30.03.19	Vegalta Sendai - Cerezo Osaka	0:2

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