Match Info

J1 League - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima (Hiroshima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sanfrecce Hiroshima		Cerezo Osaka

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.00	4.75	Watch
	1.65	4.10	4.60
	1.55	4.25	4.90	Watch
	1.69	4.35	4.86
	1.67	4.18	4.65	Watch
	1.65	4.20	4.80
	1.70	4.07	4.58	Watch
	1.68	4.10	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.55)	4.16 ↓ (4.34)	4.72 ↓ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
57.2%

Draw
22.7%

Cerezo Osaka
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

21.5%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

20.9%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Osako K. (G) 15. Nakano S. 4. Araki H. 19. Sasaki S. (C) 5. Arai N. 6. Kawabe H. 35. Nakajima Y. 7. Higashi S. 11. Kato M. 23. Ayukawa S. 10. Suzuki A.	23. Nakamura K. (G) 27. Cools D. 44. Hatanaka S. 4. Inoue R. 16. Okuda H. 10. Tanaka S. (C) 36. Irvine J. 15. Hernandez J. 77. Fernandes L. 11. Thiago Andrade 9. Sakuragawa S.
Substitutes
8. Kawamura T. 37. Kim Ju-Sung 45. Kobayashi S. 32. Koshimichi S. 14. Matsumoto T. 46. Noguchi R. 99. Ouchi I. (G) 33. Shiotani T. 18. Suga D.	31. Abe K. (G) 8. Kagawa S. 2. Nakamura T. 66. Ohata A. 19. Sabbag P. 17. Sakata R. 97. Takahashi T. 7. Uejo S. 14. Yokoyama Y.
Coaches
Gaul B.	Machin P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Suzuki A. (Penalty Awarded),
18', 2 - 0, Ayukawa S. ⚽, Higashi S. (A),
45+3', 3 - 0, Suzuki A. ⚽, Nakano S. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Sasaki S. ↓, Kim Ju-Sung ↑,
55', 4 - 0, Nakano S. ⚽, Suzuki A. (A),
57', 5 - 0, Ayukawa S. ⚽, Kato M. (A),
62', Kato M. ↓, Kawamura T. ↑,
62', Kawabe H. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
63', Thiago Andrade ↓, Yokoyama Y. ↑,
63', Hatanaka S. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
63', Hernandez J. ↓, Ohata A. ↑,
65', Okuda H. ↓, Sabbag P. ↑,
68', Nakajima Y. ↓, Koshimichi S. ↑,
75', Fernandes L. ↓, Uejo S. ↑,
80', 6 - 0, Ayukawa S. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Ayukawa S. ↓, Noguchi R. ↑,
87', Sabbag P. 🟨,
90+1', 6 - 1, Uejo S. ⚽, Kagawa S. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 4.

In recent matches, Hiroshima has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cerezo Osaka is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Cerezo Osaka has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hiroshima is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Hiroshima: Asano T. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Kambayashi G. (Shoulder Injury) Sakata R. (Hamstring Injury) Shibayama M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:15. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 11.31% Cerezo Osaka: 2.28%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4	2	2	0	8:2	6	8
10	Cerezo Osaka	4	2	0	2	3:5	-2	6

Last Results with these Odds

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 60.22%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League
06.09.26	Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3:2 ✺
02.09.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Gamba Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Okinawa SV	4:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWTWT
- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League
06.09.26	Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy	0:0 ✺
02.09.26	Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Vissel Kobe - Cerezo Osaka	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Cerezo Osaka - Gifu	3:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
25.04.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka	2:1
22.02.26	Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2
31.08.25	Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:1
06.04.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka	2:1
11.08.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka	2:0
26.05.24	Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:1
21.10.23	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Cerezo Osaka	0:0

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