Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 3

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Charrúa (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cerrito		Huracán Paso de la Arena

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.05	2.52
	2.35	3.1	2.91
	2.63	3.16	2.63	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.6
	2.58	3.04	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 (2.54)	3.05 ↓ (3.06)	2.64 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerrito
35.8%

Draw
29.8%

Huracán Paso de la Arena
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

29.3%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

29.7%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerrito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Huracán Paso de la Arena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Paso de la Arena than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Cerrito - Huracán Paso de la Arena Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Huracán will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Yepez I. ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Isasmendi J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Cerrito has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Huracán is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cerrito may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Cerrito has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cerrito won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Cerrito	21	7	8	6	27:24	3	29
10	Huracan FC	21	7	5	9	22:28	-6	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
16.05.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Cerrito	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Oriental de La Paz - Cerrito	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Cerrito	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Cerrito - La Luz	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerrito	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTTTL
- Huracán Paso de la Arena
Uruguayan Segunda Division
17.05.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Atenas de San Carlos	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Paysandú - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Cerrito	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Tacuarembó - Huracán Paso de la Arena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.04.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Cerrito	1:1

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