Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 2

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Huracán Paso de la Arena		Atenas de San Carlos

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.8	2.7
	2.58	2.82	2.68
	2.64	2.82	2.79
	2.71	2.86	2.86	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.7
	2.59	2.79	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.8)	2.82 ↑ (2.62)	2.74 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Huracán Paso de la Arena
34.9%

Draw
32.1%

Atenas de San Carlos
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

35.5%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

35.7%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huracán Paso de la Arena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Atenas de San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Paso de la Arena than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Huracán Paso de la Arena - Atenas de San Carlos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 1 - 0, Cortelezzi S. ⚽,

Preview

Huracán is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atenas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Atenas has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Huracán won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Including home match between the teams, Huracán won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atenas	21	12	4	5	30:18	12	40
10	Huracan FC	21	7	5	9	22:28	-6	26

Last Results with these Odds

Atenas de San Carlos - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.38%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huracán Paso de la Arena
Uruguayan Segunda Division
09.05.26	Paysandú - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Cerrito	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Tacuarembó - Huracán Paso de la Arena	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	La Luz - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TTWWT
- Atenas de San Carlos
Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.05.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Uruguay Montevideo	2:1 ✺
27.04.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:4 ✺
17.04.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Tacuarembó	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	La Luz - Atenas de San Carlos	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
15.03.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1

Upcoming Matches