Match Info

URUGUAY: Segunda Division - Round 21

Date: 7 October 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo María Mincheff de Lazaroff (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Disney+


	Cerrito		Montevideo City Torque

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.5	1.55
	6	3.45	1.56
	5.95	3.52	1.61
	5.47	3.48	1.68	Watch
	6	3.4	1.53
	5.83	3.44	1.57
	6	3.45	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.82 ↓ (5.94)	3.46 ↓ (3.49)	1.58 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerrito
15.7%

Draw
26.4%

Montevideo City Torque
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

26.2%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

25.3%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerrito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Montevideo City Torque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Cerrito - Montevideo City Torque Predictions

Users Predictions: Montevideo City Torque will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Moreira J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerrito won 2.

Recent matches Cerrito is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Montevideo City is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Montevideo City is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cerrito won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 0.9:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Cerrito won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
01.10.24	Albion Montevideo - Cerrito	0:3 ✺
26.09.24	Cerrito - Colón Montevideo	0:2 ✺
22.09.24	Sud América - Cerrito	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Cerrito - La Luz	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Cerrito	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWTL
- Montevideo City Torque
Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.09.24	Montevideo City Torque - Juventud de Las Piedras	3:0 ✺
25.09.24	Montevideo City Torque - Atenas de San Carlos	3:2 ✺
21.09.24	Albion Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	2:1 ✺
16.09.24	Montevideo City Torque - Colón Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
12.09.24	Paso de la Arena - Montevideo City Torque	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
21.06.24	Montevideo City Torque - Cerrito	0:1
27.04.24	Montevideo City Torque - Cerrito	0:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
01.10.22	Montevideo City Torque - Cerrito	0:1
Uruguay Copa
28.09.22	Cerrito - Montevideo City Torque	0:1 penalties
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.05.22	Cerrito - Montevideo City Torque	2:2
07.11.21	Cerrito - Montevideo City Torque	0:2
24.07.21	Montevideo City Torque - Cerrito	0:2

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