The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Albion Montevideo 28.1%
Draw 27.6%
Montevideo City Torque 44.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27.8%
28.2%
44%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
27.6%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albion Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Albion Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jaume S. (G) 2. Couture F. 13. Lacoste P. (C) 24. de los Santos M. 29. Puente F. 6. Moschion T. 5. Ginella F. 11. Toledo H. 10. Airala C. 16. Alvarez J. 9. Lopez A.
1. Torgnascioli F. (G) 17. Aguero E. 3. Silva K. 24. Kagelmacher G. (C) 14. Zampieri S. 5. Pizzichillo F. 8. Siles P. 19. Guzman D. 7. Andrade L. 9. Rodriguez S. 10. Obregon E.
Substitutes
30. Barcia B. 27. Costa S. 32. Figueroa T. 20. Gutierrez R. 80. Llana B. 17. Marichal M. 8. Neira N. 21. Rodriguez Trezza L. 31. Silva S. (G) 22. Vera A.
15. Busquets E. 32. Caceres S. 11. Da Silva N. 22. Gutierrez B. 18. Lecchini R. 20. Montes G. 30. Quintana J. 13. Rodriguez G. (G) 26. Silvera F. 27. Taran J.
Coaches
Franco D.
Mendez M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Rodriguez S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Lopez A. ↓, Figueroa T. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Airala C. ⚽,
63', Siles P. ↓, Montes G. ↑,
63', Pizzichillo F. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
63', Airala C. ↓, Vera A. ↑,
63', Toledo H. ↓, Barcia B. ↑,
68', Kagelmacher G. 🟨,
70', Andrade L. ↓, Lecchini R. ↑,
84', Montes G. 🟨,
84', Zampieri S. ↓, Silvera F. ↑,
84', Aguero E. ↓, Busquets E. ↑,
86', Ginella F. ↓, Costa S. ↑,
86', Alvarez J. ↓, Gutierrez R. ↑,
86', Silvera F. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 1, Figueroa T. ⚽,
90+6', Silvera F. 🟥,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting the league leader (ranked 15th and 1st in the Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albion won 3.
Albion has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Montevideo City has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Montevideo City could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Montevideo City holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Albion has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:10 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Albion against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:7 goals (averaging 1.2:1.4 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Montevideo City
12
8
1
3
24:13
11
25
12
Albion
12
4
0
8
15:20
-5
12
Last Results with these Odds
Montevideo City Torque - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.95%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.