Match Info

Copa Uruguay - Round 1

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	DGO Latin America
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cerro		Cerrito

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.10	3.90
	2.00	2.95	3.50	Watch
	2.12	3.02	3.48
	2.11	3.07	3.47	Watch
	2.07	2.8	3.4
	2.11	2.93	3.5	Watch
	2.12	2.9	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2)	2.97 ↓ (3.2)	3.5 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro
43.9%

Draw
30.4%

Cerrito
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

28%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

27.9%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Cerrito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cerro - Cerrito Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Cerro will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Pereira S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+5', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Cerro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cerrito's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Cerrito has had a series of home games.

Cerro will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Cerro
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.09.26	Cerro - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
01.09.26	Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.08.26	Boston River - Cerro	1:1 ✺
21.08.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	Cerro - Albion Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WTTLW
- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.09.26	Cerrito - Paysandú	1:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
02.09.26	Cerrito - Deportivo Maldonado	0:2 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.08.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Cerrito	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Cerrito - Uruguay Montevideo	3:0 ✺
14.08.26	Cerrito - Oriental de La Paz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWT

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