The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cerrito 30%
Draw 30.2%
Deportivo Maldonado 39.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.2%
24.8%
54%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.6%
24.1%
55.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerrito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cerrito's performance.
Deportivo Maldonado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Maldonado might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cerrito that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+15.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Maldonado could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cerrito - Deportivo Maldonado Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Mozzone E. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
80', 0 - 1, Larrazabal G. ⚽,
90+6', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerrito won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Maldonado could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cerrito won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Cerrito won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1.3).
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