The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montevideo Wanderers 31%
Draw 31%
Cerro 38%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
32%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
31%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montevideo Wanderers's form might have worsened.
Cerro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cerro's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montevideo Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cerro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Wanderers will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cerro will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Severo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 1 - 1, Lopez A. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Wanderers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Cerro has had a series of away games.
Wanderers will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wanderers won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.8:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Cerro - the odds 3.37 are the expected chance of winning is 26.62%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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