Match Info

Date: 6 May 2022, Friday


	Cerro		Sud América

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.95	3.4	Watch
	2	3	3.65
	2.01	3	3.6
	2.06	3.09	3.7
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.06	2.97	3.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.98)	3 ↓ (3.04)	3.54 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro
44%

Draw
30.3%

Sud América
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

29.7%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

32.5%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Sud América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Cerro - Sud América Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cerro will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Sud América will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerro won 0.

Cerro is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sud América is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerro will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Cerro won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 23-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Cerro won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Cerro
Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.04.22	Uruguay Montevideo - Cerro	3:1 ✺
17.04.22	Cerro - La Luz	1:2 ✺
09.04.22	Juventud de Las Piedras - Cerro	2:2 ✺
02.04.22	Cerro - Atenas de San Carlos	1:0 ✺
25.03.22	Progreso - Cerro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTWL
- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.04.22	Sud América - Atenas de San Carlos	1:0 ✺
16.04.22	Sud América - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
09.04.22	Racing Montevideo - Sud América	2:0 ✺
03.04.22	Rampla Juniors - Sud América	1:0 ✺
25.03.22	Sud América - Central Español	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
12.09.17	Cerro - Sud América	2:1
25.06.17	Cerro - Sud América	2:1
25.02.17	Sud América - Cerro	0:6
03.12.16	Sud América - Cerro	0:2
29.05.16	Sud América - Cerro	2:2
28.11.15	Cerro - Sud América	2:0
29.03.15	Cerro - Sud América	2:2

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